March 20, 2013

No. 2 Duke Blue Devils vs. No.15 Albany Great Danes Free Pick

March Madness Picks

Preview


Duke Blue Devils
vs.
Albany Great Danes

Date/Time: Friday, March 22, 12:15 p.m. (ET)

Television: CBS

College Basketball Odds from VietBet

Point Spread: Duke -17.5

Total: 132.5

 

Basketball Betting Game Trends

Duke Blue Devils

  • Duke is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games
  • Duke is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games
  • Duke is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games
  • Duke is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
  • Duke is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record
  • Under is 4-1 in Duke’s last 5 Friday games

Albany Great Danes

  • Albany is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
  • Albany is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record
  • Albany is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games
  • Under is 4-0 in Albany’s last 4 overall
  • Under is 5-0 in Albany’s last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game
  • Under is 5-0 in Albany’s last 5 games following a S.U. win
  • Under is 5-0 in Albany’s last 5 neutral site games

 

The Duke Blue Devils will begin their quest for a national title in the first of 16 games on Friday’s slate in the Round of 64 for this year’s NCAA Tournament. They come in still licking their wounds from a disappointing 83-74 loss to Maryland as 10-point favorites in last week’s ACC Tournament. The Blue Devils are 27-5 straight-up this season but 17-15 against the spread. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games.

Duke’s biggest attribute not only for winning this game but for a making a deep run in this tournament is the health of Ryan Kelly. He missed 13 games this season due to injury, but when he was on the floor he averaged 14.3 points and 5.4 rebounds to complement Mason Plumlee and Seth Curry. That dynamic duo has combined for 34.2 points and 12.6 rebounds this season. Overall, Duke is averaging 78.3 points a game while shooting 47.6 percent from the field.

It will be a tall task to keep this game closer than the 17.5-point spread, but the Great Danes have a few weapons of their own to make a game of this 2 verse 15 matchup. Mike Black leads the team with 14.9 points, but Jacob Iati is also scoring in double figures with an average of 12.1 points a game. Albany is shooting 43.8 percent from the field with Iati hitting 41 percent of his shots from three-point range.

While the majority of Albany’s games this season went off without a posted line, it did cover in two of its last three games on the way to the America East Tournament title. The total stayed UNDER in all three games. The Great Danes are averaging 64.4 points a game and holding opponents to an average of 60.3 points on the other end of the court.

Prediction

Duke has never been known for fast starts out of the gate in the NCAA Tournament and is 1-4 ATS in its last five tournament games. While the Blue Devils will not be in any danger of losing this game, look for Albany to play well enough to cover with the points.

Duke 72 Albany 59

Share it now!
The following two tabs change content below.

Dave Schwab

DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.

Leave a Reply