2011 AFC Regular Season Win Total Odds

The smell of football is back in the air as the NFL kicks-off the preseason this upcoming Thursday night. While most people are familiar with ‘futures’ odds for the Super Bowl and conference championships, another popular wager is on the ‘over/under’ for each team’s projected win total for the season. The following is a brief look at all 16 teams in the AFC along with a prediction for each.

AFC 2011 Win Total Projections

AFC EAST

New York Jets: 10 (Under -120)

The Jets are still the second-best team in this division, but the gap with New England is as close as it has been in the last three seasons. QB Mark Sanchez plays well enough to keep this race interesting right to the end. OVER

New England Patriots: 11.5 (Under -120)

If Bill Belichick can squeeze one more productive season from some of the older veterans just added to the roster, come February they will once again be fitting this team for a Super Bowl ring. OVER
2011 AFC Regular Season Win Total Odds
Buffalo Bills: 5 (Over -130, Under +110)

The Bills may have the longest odds of any team in the conference to win a title this season, but there is enough talent scattered on both sides of the ball to win at least six games. OVER

Miami Dolphins: 8 (Over -105, Under -115)

The Dolphins defense is good enough to keep them in the game against most of the teams on their schedule this season, but Chad Henne is not a starting quarterback and Reggie Bush is not an every down back. UNDER

AFC NORTH

Pittsburgh Steelers: 11 (Under -120)

The odds are stacked against the Steelers this year, not because of the lack of talent on this team, but because of the past track record of how teams that lose the Super Bowl do the following season. UNDER

Baltimore Ravens: 11

After three straight Wildcard berths and three straight exits from the playoffs on the road, this is the season the Ravens finally win enough games to take the North title and earn a first round bye. OVER

Cleveland Browns: 6.5

This is the type of team that always appears to be on the verge of turning things around, but the reality is the Browns have only won more than six games twice in the last eight seasons. There is nothing about this year’s version that points to a change in this trend. UNDER

Cincinnati Bengals: 7.5 (Over -120)

It appears that the Bengals are going with rookie QB Andy Dalton as their replacement for the retired Carson Palmer. This time last year, Dalton was throwing passes for the TCU Horned Frogs in the Mountain West Conference. UNDER

AFC SOUTH

Indianapolis Colts: 10 (Under -120)

Since 1999 the Colts have only won less than 10 games once (2001), but if Peyton Manning’s recovery from neck surgery lingers into the regular season, this amazing streak could be in real jeopardy. UNDER

Houston Texans: 8 (Over -115, Under -105)

The Texans have finally addressed some of their issues on defense especially in the secondary through the draft and free agency. This could make them a very scary team this season given their offense’s ability to put points on the board. OVER

Jacksonville Jaguars: 6

The Jaguars somehow found a way to win eight games last season with an offense that was ranked 18th in the league in scoring and a defense that was ranked 28th overall. They will not be nearly as fortunate this season with a team that is probably not even as good as last years. UNDER

Tennessee Titans: 6.5 (Over -115, Under -105)

If Matt Hasselbeck has anything left in the tank after 11 seasons in the NFL and the Titans get RB Chris Johnson into camp with a new contract, this team has enough talent to pull off a couple of upsets to hover around .500 this season. OVER

AFC WEST

Denver Broncos: 6 (Under -120)

It does not matter who is under center for the Broncos this season, as new head coach John Fox has a rebuilding process on his hands on the defensive side of the ball that points to another long season for this team. UNDER

San Diego Chargers: 10

The Chargers are one of those teams that are a creature of habit no matter what their roster looks like. Count on a slow start, fantastic finish, and another early exit from the playoffs. OVER

Oakland Raiders: 7

If you can wager on the ‘push’ for the win total, the Raiders would be the perfect team. They have definitely taken a step forward from their four and five win seasons, but any more than seven this season would be a stretch. EVEN

Kansas City Chiefs: 8 (Under -120)

When you take a look at this team from top to bottom and factor in the additions this past offseason through the draft and free agency, last season’s 10 wins were not an aberration. The Chiefs will push San Diego all season long for the division title. OVER

 

Dave Schwab

DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.