Heisman Trophy Odds Update (as of 9/28/11)
Here at Bang the Book, we are beginning our update for the Heisman Trophy odds on a weekly basis. Here is our first look through four weeks of play at some of the favorites as well as the odds to win the 2011 Heisman Trophy that can be found below…
Landry Jones, Oklahoma Sooners: The Sooners know that they are probably the most likely team to make it to the BCS National Championship Game this year after taking care of the Florida State Seminoles. If that’s the case, QB Landry Jones is likely to be the most likely candidate to win the Heisman Trophy. That being said, Jones really needs to pick it up, because he only has five TD passes over the course of the first three games of the season, and he also has been picked off four times. He’ll get better as the year goes on, and we know that he has a history of being able to account for scores in bunches. When it’s all said and done, he might not have the same type of numbers that he had last year, but he’ll have the wins this year that the Sooners didn’t have, which might count for more than touchdowns against picks.
Kellen Moore, Boise State Broncos: The Broncos haven’t done anything wrong this year, and Moore has looked relatively flawless in the process. He has thrown for 995 yards and 12 TDs, and he is completing 79.0 percent of his passes. Though the Heisman Trophy isn’t truly a career accomplishment goal, we know that the Selection Committee is at least going to have to take this into consideration. Boise State is going to have to run the table, and there really aren’t going to be a lot of other contenders for him to win it, but there is a likelihood that that could be just the case. Moore will have the numbers. The question is whether the rest of the country will oblige. We definitely expect the Boise State star to be a finalist in New York this year.
Russell Wilson, Wisconsin Badgers: This is a big, big week for Wilson. He and the Badgers are playing their first game in the Big 10 of the season, and they’re welcoming Nebraska to town for its first taste of this conference. Wilson has been a huge hit thus far in Madison, but we have to remember that he hasn’t truly faced any competition on the campaign. He has 1,136 passing yards and 108 more on the ground, and he has 12 TDs against just one pick to show for his work. We have to remember that things are going to get a lot harder though, starting this week against the Black Shirts defense. However, it’s clear that the senior is having his best season, especially knowing that he has completed a whopping 75.8 percent of his passes after not even completing 60 percent of his passes in any of the last three seasons.
Brandon Weeden, Oklahoma State Cowboys: The Pokes won their biggest game of the year, beating the Texas A&M Aggies. Weeden is going to have his work cut out for him over the course of the rest of the season, especially since his team is now in the Top 5 in the land. Weeden has thrown for 1,592 yards and 10 TDs on the year, and he is leading the nation’s No. 2 passing attack at over 415 yards per game. It hasn’t been the best competition, but the fact that Weeden lit up the Aggies and their relatively strong defense gives us hope that the rest of the Big 12 schedule is going to be just as friendly. If the Cowboys can win 10 or 11 games this year, 5,000 passing yards for Weeden might send him to the Big Apple.
LaMichael James: The Quack Attack might feel like they are out of the title picture at this point, but we know that that isn’t quite the case. The Pac-12 isn’t great this year, but that’s all the more reason for James to once again be a finalist. 30 to 1 is a great price on a man that led the nation in rushing a season ago, especially after he rumbled for a school record 288 yards last week on the road against the Arizona Wildcats. James is going to inevitably end up with over 1,500 rushing yards this year, and there is definitely a chance for him to reach the 2,000 yard barrier as well.
Odds to Win 2011 Heisman Trophy (as of 9/28/11)
Aaron Murray 150 to 1
Andrew Luck 3.50 to 1
Brandon Weeden 8 to 1
Case Keenum 20 to 1
Darron Thomas 60 to 1
Denard Robinson 5 to 1
Justin Blackmon 30 to 1
Kirk Cousins 125 to 1
LaMichael James 30 to 1
Landry Jones 5 to 1
Marcus Lattimore 6.50 to 1
Matt Barkley 80 to 1
Michael Floyd 100 to 1
Robert Griffin III 18 to 1
Ryan Broyles 50 to 1
Trent Richardson 10 to 1
Russell Wilson 8 to 1
Geno Smith 50 to 1
Lamar Miller 80 to 1
David Wilson 50 to 1
TY Hilton 100 to 1
Kellen Moore 5 to 1
Tajh Boyd 20 to 1
Sammy Watkins 30 to 1
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