2012 AT&T Cotton Bowl Pick – Kansas State Wildcats vs Arkansas Razorbacks
Point spread: Arkansas -7.5
Total line: 62.5
The Big 12’s Kansas State Wildcats square-off against the Arkansas Razorbacks, from the SEC this Friday night in this season’s Cotton Bowl from Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The game is set to get underway at 8 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on FOX.
Kansas State rose to No.8 in the country with an impressive 10-2 straight-up campaign that included losses to only Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. It was a profitable 9-3 against the spread and the total went ‘over’ in eight of its 12 games. What was especially impressive was the fact it won six games SU as an underdog.
The Wildcats’ offensive attack featured a duel threat at quarterback in Collin Klein. He only threw for 1745 yards this season, but led the team in rushing with 1,099 yards on 293 carries. As a whole, the team averaged 33.1 points a game, while giving up 27.8 points on defense.
Arkansas ended the season 10-2 SU overall and a hard-earned 6-2 SU in SEC play. Its only two setbacks this season were to the top two teams in the nation and it recorded victories against three other ranked opponents. The Razorbacks went 7-5 ATS and the total went ‘over’ in eight of the 12 games.
This team averaged 37.4 points a game behind a passing offense that racked-up 307.8 yards a game. Tyler Wilson stepped-up for the departed Ryan Mallett and threw for 3,422 yards and 22 touchdowns. Jarius Wright was his favorite target with 66 receptions for 1,029 yards and 11 TD’s.
The Wildcats are 0-5 in their last five bowl games, but 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as underdogs. The total has gone ‘over’ in 16 of their last 21 games overall.
The Razorbacks are 0-4 ATS in their last four bowl games, but 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against the Big 12. The total has stayed ‘under’ in their last eight bowls, but has gone ‘over’ in their last five games overall.
Both these teams have shown the ability to rise to the occasion in big games this year, but the Razorbacks are far more battle-tested. None the less, stick with Kansas State to find a way to keep this a one-touchdown game to cover with the 7.5 points.
The Free Cotton Bowl Pick: Arkansas 27 Kansas State 20
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