2012 Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
Back in 2002, in the fourth season of their re-existence, the Cleveland Browns made the playoffs. Since then, with almost annual changes in coaches and quarterbacks, Cleveland has posted eight losing seasons out of nine, losing at least 10 games each of those campaigns. This season, their second under Coach Shurmur, the Browns are likely to begin with another starting quarterback, this one a 28-year-old rookie. How does this outfit expect to make progress with so little continuity?
Last Season in Review
The Brownies went off last year with a regular-season wins ‘over/under’ of 5.5, and they actually started 3-3. But as the offense went underground Cleveland lost nine of its last 10 games, including its last six in a row, to finish at 4-12 and in last place in the AFC North. When looking for a bright side, we find six of the Browns’ losses came by one score or less, and a couple others could be called “close.” So the defense was holding Cleveland in games. But that unit got no help from the offense, which was held to 14 points or less 10 times.
The Browns also went 0-6 in a division that sent three teams to the playoffs.
Cleveland ranked 29th in offense last year at just 289 YPG, and 28th in rushing at 96 YPG. On the other side of the line of scrimmage the Browns ranked a respectable 10th in defense at 332 YPG, but 30th vs. the run, getting dinged for 147 YPG on the ground. Overall the Brownies ranked 28th in total yardage at -43 YPG and 31st in total rushing at -51 YPG.
Around the NFL last year teams that got outrushed lost 74 percent of games outright and 69 percent of games against the spread.
The Cleveland Browns managed to go 7-7-2 ATS last year, and 5-3 ATS on the road. And as Browns games ranked dead last in the league last year at just 33 total points per, Cleveland went 5-10-1 on the ‘over/unders.’
The Brownies traded up in the draft to grab Alabama RB Trent Richardson, who’s been compared to Adrian Peterson, at No. 3 overall. Then, unsatisfied with Colt McCoy, even though he’s barely had a chance to show anything, they drafted 28-year-old Oklahoma State QB Brandon Weeden with the 22nd overall pick. Then they took Cal OT Mitchell Schwartz with the 37th pick. There’s a good chance all three will begin this season in the starting lineup.
2012 Browns Schedule
Thanks in part to the performances of their division rivals last year Cleveland’s schedule is ranked third-toughest in the league this season. The Browns will play eight games vs. teams that made the playoffs last year, five of those on the road. And several of their games against non-playoff qualifiers will be tough, too. Cleveland starts with the Eagles and Bengals, later plays the Ravens, Giants and Bengals on consecutive weeks, then goes Chargers-Ravens back-to-back, then finishes with games vs., among others, the Cowboys, Steelers, Broncos and Steelers again. The Browns are likely to be underdogs for at least 13 of their games.
2012 Cleveland Browns Betting Odds and Prediction
Cleveland is getting +2,500 at BetDSI to win the AFC North this season, 90/1 to win the AFC and 200/1 to win the Super Bowl. Over at 5Dimes the Browns have been pegged with a wins ‘over/under’ of 5.5 (O +120/U -140). When will Browns fans finally have something to get excited about? When the carousel of coaches and quarterbacks ends. Our problem is we don’t see it ending anytime soon. The offense stunk last year, and there’s no guarantee it won’t be just as bad this year. So we’re leaning toward the ‘under’ 5.5 wins on Cleveland for this season.
Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.
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