2012 New York Giants Betting Preview
The New York Giants don’t set the world on fire during the regular season, but they apparently know how to win come playoff time. Last year NY sneaked into the postseason on the last Sunday, then went on one of those runs that eventually resulted in a second Super Bowl title under Coach Coughlin.
This season the Giants will try to become the first team since the 2004-05 Patriots to win back-to-back Lombardi Trophies. But while the talent is here for another run, New York plays the toughest schedule in the league. And we all know how important the schedule is in determining who does what in this league.
Last Season in Review
The G-Men started 6-2 last year, with wins over the Eagles and Patriots but losses to the Redskins and Seahawks. But then the Giants created a some doubt, at least in our mind, when they lost four in a row, albeit to the 49ers, Eagles, Saints and Packers. The Giants then beat Dallas, but lost again to the lowly Redskins. A victory over the Jets got them to a do-or-die game with the Cowboys, where New York came up big, winning to get to 9-7, which was just enough to take the NFC East title.
Then, in the playoffs, the Giants basically blanked Atlanta in a Wild-Card game, then went into Green Bay and outplayed the 15-1 Packers. They then went out to San Francisco and gutted out an overtime victory in the NFC championship game.
Finally, to cap it all off, New York outrushed and outgained New England and got a late drive for a score to win Super Bowl 46 by a score of 21-17.
Last year the New York Giants ranked eighth in the league in offense at 385 YPG but, shockingly, dead last in rushing at just 89 YPG.
Over on the other side of the ball New York came in just 27th in defense, allowing 376 YPG, and 19th vs. the run at 121 YPG.
So overall the Giants ranked 12th in total yardage at +9 YPG but 26th in total rushing at -32 YPG.
Teams that got outrushed last year covered the spread just 31 percent of the time. But New York managed to go 8-7-1 ATS.
They also went 8-7-1 on the totals, as Giants games averaged 50 points, sixth-most in the league.
Individually QB Eli Manning completed 61 percent of his throws last year for a 29/16 TD/INT ratio; WR Victory Cruz caught 82 balls for 1,500 yards; and Hakeem Nicks caught 76 balls for 1,200 yards. That’s a trio that could do similar damage for seasons to come.
Over the off-season New York lost RB Brandon Jacobs, WR Mario Manningham, a starting offensive lineman, CB Aaron Ross and S Deon Grant, among others, as Super Bowl champs are apt to do. For the most part the Giants have chosen to fill those holes in-house. NY then went offense for five of its first six picks in the draft.
Also, on an off-season injury note, Nicks broke a bone in his foot in May, and while he’ll be back this season, it’s uncertain as to exactly when he’ll be ready.
2012 Giants Schedule
According to last year’s W/L records New York will play the toughest schedule in the league this season. The Giants have eight games vs. teams that made the playoffs last year, plus, of course, two games against both the Eagles and Cowboys. NY opens on a Wednesday night at home with Dallas, then a couple weeks later plays back-to-back national TV games at Carolina and Philly. The Giants later go back to San Francisco, and after that go Cowboys-Steelers-Bengals-Packers. They finish with a flourish, hosting the Saints, visiting the Falcons and Ravens, then ending the season at home with the Eagles. What a handful.
2012 New York Giants Betting Odds and Prediction
Bovada is offering the Giants at +200 to win the NFC East this season, 9/1 to win the NFC and 18/1 to repeat as Super Bowl champs. The G-Men have also been pegged with a regular-season wins ‘over/under’ at Bookmaker of nine (O -125/U -105).
It’s not often you can get the defending Super Bowl champs at prices like what New York is getting. Then again, that might be for good reason, because the Giants, although yes, they fought through a lot of injuries last year, only went 9-7. They just got on one of those rolls, like the Packers did the year before.
This year New York, talent-wise, will be a fine team. But the Giants play a brutal schedule. That’s why we’re leaning toward the ‘under’ nine on New York’s wins total for this season.