2012 Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview
Two years ago the Seattle Seahawks, in their first season under Coach Carroll, finished 7-9 but made the playoffs. Last year, they went 7-9 again, but missed the playoffs by three games. While the records were the same, progress was made on both sides of the ball last year. But not satisfied with its QB play, and rightly so, Seattle went out and got free-agent Matt Flynn, who in his two career NFL starts has put on a couple of pretty good shows. So everything is about set for the Seahawks as they go into this season, other than that starting QB spot, where Flynn will battle incumbent Tarvaris Jackson.
Last Season in Review
Seattle started 2-6 last year, with five of its first seven games coming against teams that eventually made the playoffs. The Seahawks then finished 5-3, as just two of their last eight games were against eventual playoff teams. They even got to 7-7 before ending the season with close losses to San Francisco and Arizona.
Along the way Seattle lost to the Niners (twice), Steelers, Falcons, Bengals and Cowboys, and beat the Falcons, Giants, Ravens and Eagles. So these Birds had their moments.
But they had chances at other moments, and came up short because of the offense.
Even as it finished with a losing record Seattle actually outscored its opponents on the season by six points.
The Seattle Seahawks ranked just 28th in the league in offense last year at 304 YPG and 21st in rushing at 110 YPG. Over on defense the ‘Hawks ranked ninth overall at 332 YPG, a vast improvement from 2010, and 15th vs. the run at 112 YPG.
Overall Seattle ranked 22nd in total yardage at -28 YPG, 16th in total rushing at -2 YPG and 29th in time-of-possession at -3:46 per game.
Around the league last year teams that lost the TOP battle covered the spread just 34 percent of the time. But the Seahawks, perhaps playing a bit under the radar out on the Left Coast, went 9-6-1 ATS, 8-5 ATS as underdogs.
Also, as Seattle games averaged 40 points, four PPG lower than the league median, the Seahawks went 10-6 on the totals, because 10 of their games were lined with totals in the 30s.
Individually, RB Marshawn Lynch ran for 1,200 yards and 12 scores; Jackson completed 60 percent of his passes with a 14/13 TD/INT ratio; and rookie Doug Baldwin led the team with 51 catches for 790 yards.
Over the off-season Seattle parted ways with OG Robert Gallery, WR Mike Williams and LB David Hawthorne, who led the team in tackles the last three seasons.
On the free-agent market the Seahawks signed former Packer Flynn and two former Titans, DT Jason Jones and LB Barrett Ruud.
In an effort to juice up the pass rush Seattle grabbed West Virginia DE Bruce Irvin with the 15th overall pick in the draft, and took Utah State LB Bobby Wagner at No. 47.
And in a pick we’re very interested in the results of Seahawks took Wisconsin QB Russell Wilson, and immediately threw him into the training camp mix with Jackson and Flynn.
2012 Seahawks Schedule
Going by last year’s W/L records Seattle will play the 12th-toughest schedule in the league this season. The Seahawks only have five games vs. teams that made the playoffs last season, but also games with Dallas, at Carolina, the Jets, and at Chicago. They open on the road at Arizona, then play the Cowboys and Packers. A couple weeks later they go back-to-back-to-back with the Patriots, 49ers and Lions. Seattle will also play four games in the Eastern time zone, vs. the Panthers, Lions, Dolphins, and Bills.
Over the last five seasons the Seahawks are 2-11 straight-up at ETZ teams.
2012 Seattle Seahawks Betting Odds and Prediction
Seattle is getting +550 at Diamond Sportsbook to win the NFC West this season, 30/1 to win the NFC and 50/1 to win the Super Bowl, while over at Bookmaker the Seahawks have been tagged with a regular-season wins ‘over/under’ of 7.5 (O -120/U -110).
Questions remain at the QB spot. Jackson has shown potential, and Seattle actually went 7-7 with him as the starter last year, although he was kind of lousy in tight spots. And Flynn must still be considered an unknown quantity. But other than that this team is alright.
Coach Carroll has taken his teams to the playoffs in three of his six seasons in the NFL. And if he can get some decent play out of his QBs this year, he’s got a chance to make it four-for-seven. We think that might happen, so we’re leaning toward the ‘over’ on 7.5 wins for Seattle this season.