NBA Betting Guide-January 18
The NBA regular season is into its fourth week of play and while most of the preseason favorites are playing true to form, there have also been a few unexpected twists and turns from a couple of teams that started the season way under the radar. This betting guide is designed to provide a weekly snap-shot of which teams are the top performers in the league. Not necessarily on the court, but where it matters the most; against the spread.
The team with the best record against the spread so far is also the league’s biggest early surprise. The Philadelphia 76ers ran their record to 10-3 straight-up with a 94-82 victory over Milwaukee this past Monday as 8.5-point home favorites. Even more impressive is the fact they have covered in nine of their last 10 games and are 10-2-1 ATS overall. It remains to be seen if Philadelphia can continue on this pace, but so far it has been extremely balanced on offense and downright stingy on defense. The Sixers have six players scoring in double figures led by Lou Williams’ 16.2 points a game. They are ranked third in the NBA in scoring with an average 100.8 points a game and second in points allowed; giving-up an average of 85.9 points a game. The total has stayed ‘under’ in eight of their 15 games overall and in five of their six games at home.
The Denver Nuggets continue to make some early noise out of the Western Conference with a 9-5 record SU and a highly profitable 10-4 record ATS. They are coming off a 105-95 win over Milwaukee on Tuesday night as three-point road favorites for their third victory in their last four games. The Nuggets are 5-3 ATS in eight home games and a solid 5-1 ATS in six games on the road. The total has gone an even 7-7 in their 14 games. Denver has also done a good job of spreading the ball around with five players scoring in double figures. Danilo Gallinari and Ty Lawson are each averaging over 16 points a game with Lawson shooting 49.4 percent from the field. The Nuggets are second in the league in scoring with an average of 104.1 points a game and giving-up an average of 98.4 points a game. They are shooting 48.3 percent from the floor and 34.8 percent from three-point range.
The third-best team in the league ATS is the defending champion Dallas Mavericks. They have been a bit shaky so far with a SU record of 8-6, but continue to provide a profitable return at 10-4 ATS. The Mavericks are coming off a 73-70 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers this past Monday as 3.5-point road underdogs, but they have now covered the spread in six-straight games. They are 6-2 ATS at home this season and 4-2 ATS on the road and the total has stayed ‘under’ in 10 of their 14 games overall. Some very familiar names are at the top of the Mavericks’ scoring totals with Dirk Nowitzki averaging 17.9 points a game and Jason Terry averaging 14.4. Dallas is averaging 92.6 points a game and ranked third in the NBA in points allowed. It is holding its opponents to an average of just 88.5 points a game.
Some of the other early money-makers in the NBA have been the Minnesota Timberwolves at 5-8 SU, but 9-4 ATS, the Houston Rockets at 7-7 SU and 9-5 ATS, and the Chicago Bulls with a 13-3 record SU and a 10-6 record ATS.
Some of the early drains on the bankroll in the league have been the Detroit Pistons at 3-11 both SU and ATS, the woeful Washington Wizards at 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS, and the disappointing New York Knicks at 6-7 SU and 3-10 ATS.
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