Sunday Night Football Pick: Pittsburgh @ Denver
Date/Time: September 9th, 8:30 P.M. ET
NFL Odds from BetDSI
Point Spread: Denver -1 (-115)
NFL Betting Game Trends
- Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games
- Pittsburgh is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
- Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- Pittsburgh is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
- Denver is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
- Denver is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 14 of Denver’s last 19 games at home
At the end of last season, the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Denver Broncos met in the first round of the playoffs in a game that went to overtime. That day, the Broncos were able to get the better of the clash. This is a new season though, and these two teams both definitely have their sights set on the Lombardi Trophy in 2012.
Pittsburgh most certainly has a score to settle, knowing that it was knocked out of the playoffs in very upsetting fashion. S Ryan Clark was held out of that game, and he will miss this one as well. LB James Harrison also won’t be around for the defense. The ground game is going to be interesting to watch. RB Isaac Redman has been dealing with a knee injury, and the ball might be in the hands of RB Jonathan Dwyer instead. Either way, new OC Todd Haley is going to be putting the onus of his offense on the shoulders of QB Ben Roethlisberger. Big Ben is expected to throw the ball around some more, and with WR Mike Wallace back in camp and over his contract dispute, this offense has a heck of a lot of talent. The offensive line still seems to be patchwork at best, especially with the team’s first round NFL Draft choice, G David DeCastro tearing his MCL in the preseason, but there is still a lot of optimism aside from all of the injuries.
Denver took some great strides in the right direction last year, and QB Tim Tebow was given all of the credit. However, there shouldn’t be an NFL betting fan that doesn’t recognize the fact that the Broncos only went as far as their defense took them. LB Von Miller proved to be as much of a stud as he was projected to be, and getting LB Elvis Dumervil back from a 2010 season long injury truly helped as well. The ground game picked up when RB Willis McGahee took over for RB Knowshon Moreno, who has totally fallen out of favor. The real difference this year? QB Peyton Manning is the new sheriff in town. Manning is going to look odd wearing any other colors than those of the Indianapolis Colts, but he is here in Denver for the end of his career and hopes to follow in the footsteps of QB John Elway, who retired after winning consecutive Lombardi Trophies. Still, Manning is coming off of some major neck surgery that cost him the entire 2011 season, and it will be interesting to see how he is going to be doing with live bullets coming his way in the regular season.
We just tend to get the feeling that the worst of Pittsburgh’s problems have been dealt with. The offense should open itself up more, and running game might have the better backs in the game now with RB Rashard Mendenhall out. It just feels like the Steelers are a known commodity, and the Broncos are an unknown commodity. The wrong team might be favored in this clash of potential AFC playoff foes. Pittsburgh 24 – Denver 21
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