College Football Betting By the Numbers: Week 8
When you bet on NCAA Football, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the NCAA football betting lines for Week 8. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!
0: The number of rushing touchdowns that the Notre Dame Fighting Irish have allowed this year. We just can’t state enough just how good this Notre Dame defense has been all year long. Sure, RB Stepfan Taylor probably got into the end zone and was screwed out of what should have been the game-tying score in overtime last week in South Bend, but history will show that the Irish made four stops at the goal line. The last man that scored a rushing touchdown against Notre Dame was Josh Bordner of the Boston College Eagles, and that was over eight and a half games ago.
3: The number of sacks that the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have given up all year long. Why is that notable this week? Because the Temple Owls are the next team on the docket, and they have one of the most aggressive blitzing teams in the entire nation. Temple is averaging 3.2 sacks per game. Just to get to the passer once against Rutgers seems to be quite the accomplishment, but it is a task that Head Coach Steve Adazio and his defense are going to have to try to figure out if the Owls are going to win their biggest game in years.
4: The number of consecutive games that the Michigan State Spartans have both won and covered against the Michigan Wolverines. The Battle of the Mitten takes place this weekend, and the game doesn’t have nearly the same amount of importance that it did last year when these two clubs went head-to-head. Yes, the winner is going to be in the driver’s seat for the Big Ten Championship Game, but the fact of the matter is that the Rose Bowl is about the only goal that either of these teams could have this year. Michigan State is getting 9.5, the biggest point spread this series has seen since 2006.
4-22: The numbers that represent the ATS record for the Central Michigan Chippewas in their last 26 games. There is no doubt that this has been the worst team for bettors to back over the course of the last year and a half to two years, and there is no doubt whatsoever that the Chippies are proving to be killers. Long gone are the days of QB Dan Lefevour and his dominating performances both with his arm and his legs, and it is still killing CMU years and years later.
6-1-1: The numbers that represent the ATS record for the Alabama Crimson Tide against the Tennessee Volunteers over the course of the last eight years of play in this series. The two will renew ties again this week, and Alabama is favored by three touchdowns. This is a bad spot for the Vols, who badly need a win to make sure that they make it to a bowl game this year, but they have lost the last two in this series by 31 points apiece.
7.5: The number of points that the Purdue Boilermakers were underdogs by last year at home to the Ohio State Buckeyes. Of course, that game ended in an upset, the second of its kind in the last few years in this series. Purdue has always seemed to play Ohio State tough, and if you take out the 49-0 whooping that was issued to the Boilers in 2010 in this series, the last seven games have been decided by 7.7 points per game, and three of those were won by the Boilermakers. That’s why it seems a bit odd that OSU is laying 18.5 points in spite of the fact that it is clearly the better of the two outfits.
7.6: The number of points per game that the Alabama Crimson Tide have allowed in their last 12 games in the SEC. None of the 12 teams have scored more than 14 points, and this week, the Tennessee Volunteers are going to be the team that has to figure out how to put up more than two scores on the best defense in America. Alabama has been remarkably consistent in spite of the fact that so many players have left for the NFL over the course of the last few years. This is a tough test for the Vols at home against the Tide.
11-1: The numbers representing the record for the road teams in the Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanes series over the course of the last dozen years. Yes, underdogs and road favorites have really ruled the day in this series, and there have even been some outright shocking upsets as well. If Miami is going to be the next big team to pull an upset in this rivalry, it is going to have to do so as three-touchdown underdogs. The garnet and gold are clearly the better of these two teams, but the last time that FSU was a favorite of around this size on the road, the NC State Wolfpack got the better of it.
15: The number that remarkably represents the number of consecutive games that the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have covered in a row dating back to last year. The Toppers are the only 6-0 ATS team in the country right now, and they are riding a four-game winning streak from an SU standpoint. The only loss that the Hilltoppers have had this year? A 35-0 defeat on the road in Tuscaloosa against the Alabama Crimson Tide, and they played one of the better games against the No. 1 team in the land.
24.0: The number of points per game that the Clemson Tigers beat the Virginia Tech Hokies by last year. These two clubs met twice, once in the regular season in Blacksburg, and once in the ACC Championship Game. It was amazing to see the Tigers, who were underdogs in both games, not just winning both, but destroying the Hokies in both as well. Remember that those were the only two games that V-Tech lost in the regular season last year. Clemson is favored by eight points this time now that the game is being played at home, and it is a game that both teams are going to have to win if either is going to get into the ACC Championship Game for the second straight year in all likelihood.
40.5: The number that represents the lowest ‘total’ of the weekend. That goes to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the BYU Cougars. Want to know why this ‘total’ is so low? See: 0. The Irish are just a monstrous defensive team right now, and BYU is the same team that went to the Smurf Turf and didn’t give up a single offensive point to the Boise State Broncos. All of the quarterbacks involved in this game are suspect, but the two defenses most certainly are anything but.
40.5: The number that represents the highest point spread of the week. It’s odd to think that this number matches the same number as the lowest ‘total’ of the weekend, and it is a real testament to just how good the USC Trojans… or just how bad the Colorado Buffaloes are… probably a little from both categories. It’s tough to see how the Men of Troy are going to win this one by six touchdowns though, knowing that they haven’t won a game by this margin all year long and their defense has been a sieve, but it is definitely a game that won’t be close in all likelihood.
70.0: The number of rushing yards per game that the Oregon State Beavers are giving up this year. That’s a great mark, and it’s ranked fourth in the country. However, that’s awful news for the Utah Utes, who are coming to Reser Stadium this weekend. The Utes are ranked #116 in the land in rushing, and considering the fact that they are on their third quarterback this year, the ground game had better get something going, or they are going to get crushed.
80: The number of points representing the highest ‘total’ of the weekend. That goes to the Texas Longhorns and the Baylor Bears. Baylor is the team that is bringing all of the big time offense and the sieve of a defense to the table, but this even might be an overplayed number. Texas’ defense can’t possibly play as poorly as it did against Oklahoma last week, and the truth of the matter is that 80 is still a ton of points. If QB Nick Florence gets held up at all, this is going to be a really difficult number to get to.
392.7: The number of yards per game that QB Johnny Manziel is averaging per game thus far in his freshman year. That’s 173.1 yards per game more than the LSU Tigers are allowing this year to teams. Manziel is going to be up against it for sure on Saturday against a remarkable defense, but at least he has the 12th Man behind him. If the Aggies are going to get back in the SEC Championship race, this is the game that is going to have to be won, and Manziel has to keep his numbers going at this pace to pull out the ‘W’.
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