NFL Lock of the Week: Week 11
NFL Lock of the Week: Panthers Exploit Overrated Bucs
In week 11 the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will travel to Charlotte North Carolina to take on the Carolina Panthers.
At the start of the season the Panthers were predicted to have a break out season, while the Buccaneers would struggle. Eleven weeks into he season the exact opposite has happened.
Rookie running back Doug Martin has been a welcomed addition to the Buccaneers and the offense is moving the ball. The addition of Vincent Jackson at wide receiver has allowed quarterback Josh Freeman to utilize his targets effectively.
Meanwhile the Panthers and more specifically, Cam Newton has struggled. Newton’s sophomore slump has been the focus of the team’s free fall. Despite all of the problems, the Panthers will beat the Buccaneers as the lock of the week.
Although the Buccaneers are winning ballgames they are getting gouged on defense.
The secondary is beaten up and very beatable against the pass. They were recently carved up in back-to-back games against the San Diego Chargers and the Oakland Raiders. The most notable poor performance was when they allowed over 400 yards passing to Carson Palmer although the Raiders had lost all of their running backs to injury.
This is something that Newton and the Panthers can exploit.
The Panthers are 31-15-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 48 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
The Buccaneers are 16-33-1 ATS in their last 50 games on grass, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when playing the NFC South, and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record.
The Buccaneers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Carolina and they will lose again as the Panthers are the lock of the week.
Cole Ryan
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