2013-14 BCS Championship Odds Through Week 11
Week 11 of the 2013 college football season is said and done with, and today, we are going to be looking at some of the best and most valuable odds to win the BCS National Championship as we continue on with the campaign.
1: Alabama Crimson Tide (+120) – The Crimson Tide don’t have the easiest trip to the National Championship Game left (Florida State does), but there is no doubt that they will be favored against anyone in the nation that comes their way in the BCS title game. QB AJ McCarron has gotten himself back into the thick of the Heisman Trophy discussion, and rightfully so. He’s not the one that is completely carrying this team, but he is clearly the leader. The defense isn’t as good for the Tide as it usually is, but it still a strong unit. LSU’s offense stood no chance in the second half of last week’s game when these two hooked up. Remember that the Crimson Tide are scoring over 40 points per game this year, and there hasn’t been a game in which they have scored fewer than 25 points. If they keep scoring 30 points night in and night out, they aren’t getting beaten, as the only team that has scored more than 17 against this team this year was Texas A&M, and it did all of its damage with QB Johnny Manziel running all over the field.
2: Florida State Seminoles (+160) – We said three weeks ago that we liked FSU at nearly 8 to 1 to win it all, and we have been rewarded. Oregon has been beaten, and the Seminoles are now in the driver’s seat with the easiest road to the National Championship Game left. The Noles are favored by five and a half touchdowns over Syracuse, and they’ll be favored by at least 50 against Idaho in all likelihood. The game against Florida in the Swamp might ultimately be a little tricky, but in the end, that’s a game that the Noles should win, as they should against either Virginia Tech or whomever comes out of the ACC Coastal Division. QB Jameis Winston is four wins away from winning the Heisman Trophy in all likelihood as well, and Head Coach Jimbo Fisher is sure to be the National Coach of the Year to boot. It’s all looking good for Florida State, and as long as it can avoid a slip the likes of which it really shouldn’t suffer, it will be around a field goal underdog in the National Championship Game to Alabama.
3: Baylor Bears (+550) – We’re going to skip over Ohio State here even though it is comfortably the #3 team in America right now with a very easy schedule the rest of the way. Here’s the thing about Baylor. It plays a hard enough schedule the rest of the way to warrant being in the BCS National Championship Game if it can win out and get a slip from Alabama or Florida State. The Bears aren’t better than either of those other teams, nor will they have the same types of wins of either of those teams, but the schedule isn’t bad, and they have been murdering everyone that they have faced. That massive win over Oklahoma didn’t go unnoticed, though it was a bit surprising to see Stanford, at least for the time being, sitting in front of Baylor. Head Coach Art Briles just signed a 10-year deal to stay in Waco for probably the rest of his coaching career, and he is really building a program that is top notch at this point.
4: Auburn Tigers (+4000) – We never would have believed at the start of the season that Head Coach Gus Malzahn was going to make this much difference for this team so quickly. QB Nick Marshall has turned into one of the best players in the entire SEC, and he is guiding an offense that is averaging over 300 rushing yards per game. The defense for the Tigers has had its moments looking strong, but the bottom line is that it has a real shot to get the job done and play for the National Championship. There’s a real question as to whether Auburn will hop over teams like Ohio State, Stanford, Oregon, and Baylor if it runs the table, but the truth of the matter is that wins over Georgia, Alabama, and presumably Missouri or South Carolina to end the season should be worth a whole heck of a lot, and the pollsters couldn’t possibly overlook that. We have to imagine that a 12-1 Auburn outfit plays for all of the marbles, whether anyone outside of SEC Country likes it or not.
5: Missouri Tigers (+10000) – Again, we’re talking about value here, and there is lots of it with the Tigers at 100 to 1. Missouri is basically the exact same boat the Auburn is in. This is a good team that is playing fantastic offense at this point, and the bottom line is that 12-1 is a very realistic possibility. The Tigers would hop over Clemson and Auburn for sure if they would run the table, and jumping Oregon would seem like a given as well, especially with the Ducks not likely to play in the Pac-12 Championship Game. The argument could be made, especially if Alabama is the #1 team in the land going into the SEC Championship Game, that a win in that game should warrant Mizzou leaping over all of that other teams outside of Florida State in the country. Will it happen? Probably not. But can it happen? It certainly can. Let’s watch the Tigers get through Ole Miss and Texas A&M to get to the SEC Championship Game first, though.