2013 Big 12 BCS Futures
College Football Betting Trends- 2013 Big 12 BCS Futures
We are still a couple of months away from Bovada’s release of the futures odds for a college football team’s chances to win their respective conference title, but using its updated BCS Championship odds as a guide, we can project which teams will most likely open as the possible favorites, contenders and longshots to win the Big 12 title next season.
The top two teams from the Big 12 in terms of its odds to win the BCS national title next season are the Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Texas Longhorns at 30/1. There are 14 other schools with better odds on Bovada’s list which does say too much for the perceived overall strength of this conference in 2013.
The Cowboys finished fourth in the Big 12 last season with a record of 5-4 and they went 8-5 overall. The main reason for such high expectations going into next season is an offense that returns eight starters including quarterback Clint Chelf and All-Big 12 wide receiver Josh Stewart. The big loss off this squad was All-American running back Joseph Randle, who opted to make himself available for the NFL draft. Draining some of the value in these odds is a defense that was ranked 64th in the country in points allowed. Seven starters are expected back on that side of the ball.
Texas is another high-profile program coming off a less than stellar performance in 2012. It finished the season at 9-4 with a 31-27 victory over Oregon State in the Alamo Bowl, but it was barely over .500 in Big 12 play at 5-4 including losses to TCU and Kansas State in its final two regular season games. The good news is that the Longhorns are expected to have 19 starters back from that team including 10 of 11 on an offense that averaged 35.7 points a game.
David Ash is expected to be the Texas’s starting quarterback on opening day after finishing last season with 2,699 passing yards and 19 touchdown throws. Also returning is the running back tandem of Johnathan Grey and Joe Bergeron, who helped the Longhorns average over 170 rushing yards a game. Defense was this team’s major weakness as well in 2013; allowing close to 30 points a game.
The Oklahoma Sooners only lost one conference game last season against eight wins but it was enough to cost them a Big 12 title as a result of a tiebreaker with 8-1 Kansas State. Heading into this season they have been opened at 40/1 to win a national title making them the third-best team from the conference on the list. This could be due the mass exodus of talent from last year’s squad. There will be a myriad of holes to fill on both sides of the ball with seven starters back on offense and only five back on defense.
The biggest loss was Landry Jones at quarterback so it looks like it will Blake Bell lining up under center when the Sooners take the field against UL-Monroe on opening day. They will have All-Big 12 fullback Trey Millard back after the NFL prospect decided to return for his senior season.
The jump from the Mountain West to the Big 12 last season was a bit of a rough transition for the TCU Horned Frogs with a 4-5 record in conference play. The entire 2012 campaign appeared to be a struggle at times and was capped off with a tough 17-16 loss to Michigan in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl. For 2013, TCU is currently a 66/1 longshot to make a run all the way to a BCS title so its main focus will be on improving its play in its second go round in the Big 12.
The Horned Frogs remain loaded on defense with 10 starters back from a unit that held its opponents to an average of 22.6 points a game. Another year of experience could help to drive that number down into the teens in 2013. There are seven starters back on offense including wide receivers Josh Boyce and LaDarius Brown, but the real question remains at quarterback. Trevone Boykin is penciled-in as the starter pending the playing status of Casey Pachall, who was suspended by the team last season as a result of a DUI charge.
The 2013 BCS odds for two other teams in the Big 12 have Kansas State at 150/1 and West Virginia at 300/1.
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