NFL Betting Trends- 2013 NFL Draft Prop Bets
The 2013 NFL draft from Radio City Music Hall in New York will take place next week starting with the first round on Thursday night, April 25 and concluding with rounds 3-7 on Saturday afternoon.
While the list of the top prospects available this year is littered with both offensive and defensive lineman, who are expected to fill most of the first 10 overall selections, it is some of the marquee names that are catching most of the attention with the betting public. The following is a look a few of Sportsbook’s prop bet odds for the draft position of three of the highest profile players out there.
Geno Smith, Quarterback- West Virginia
In what is thought of as a very thin draft class for quarterbacks, Geno Smith remains at the top of almost everyone’s list to be drafted first. The money line that he is selected with one of the first six picks in the first round is even money and -130 that he goes later than that. Depending on which mock drafts you place most of your confidence should be your guide for this bet. A good deal of the boards have Philadelphia selecting him with the fourth overall pick, but if that fails to happen, he would probably go to Buffalo with the eighth overall pick.
New Eagles head coach Chip Kelly needs a long-term solution at this position and Smith certainly fits his fast-paced style of offense. That being said, stick with the OVER on this one as there are probably going to be quarterbacks such as Florida State’s EJ Manual or Syracuse’s Ryan Nassib still on the board when Philadelphia picks early in the second round, which would also be a good fit at a much lower risk.
Matt Barkley, Quarterback-USC
Barkley was once thought of as a top five pick earlier in his college career, but a less than stellar performance in his senior season with the Trojans dropped his stock dramatically. The prop bet for this selection revolves completely around the first round. The money line for UNDER 32.5 is even and listed at -130 for OVER.
Quality quarterbacks are hard to come by in the NFL, so there always a chance that some team out there will take a flyer on Barkley with a first round pick in hopes they can correct whatever flaws they have uncovered and tap into the raw talent that he does have to play in the NFL. Looking through the projected first round picks for all 32 teams, there is just too much other talent out there for a team to risk a No.1 pick on a project like this. I would have to go with the OVER on this one as well.
Manti Te’o, Linebacker- Notre Dame
The ongoing saga of Manti Te’o will eventually have a happy ending as far as the draft, but the question remains how far will all the drama and possible baggage he is currently carrying cause the former top-10 projected pick to drop. The money line on UNDER 26.5 is set at -135 while the OVER is listed at +105.
Putting the whole girlfriend hoax and poor showing at the NFL Combine behind, Te’o is still a very talented player that can fill a number of roles on defense. He showed much better speed and strength during his Notre Dame Pro Day workout which had to have caught the interest of a couple of teams picking lower than 26th in the first round. One possibility is Chicago at No.20, but a more likely landing spot could be St. Louis at No.22. If he is still on the board after the Rams make their selection then he could possibly fall all the way to 32nd as the final pick in the first round to Baltimore. In a class that is deep at inside linebacker, I would take the more favorable money line on this bet and go OVER as well.
DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.