2013 NFL Player Props
NFL Betting Trends- 2013 NFL Player Props
BetOnline has recently released a number of NFL futures odds for the upcoming 2013 season including odds to win Super Bowl XLVIII all the way to the opening lines for all the games in Week 1. Some of the more intriguing futures cover regular season player props for total passing, rushing and receiving yards. This week, NFL Betting Trends will take a closer look at the top contenders in all three of the categories.
Most Passing Yards
After leading the NFL in both 2011 and 2012 in total passing yards, it is little wonder that New Orleans Saints’ quarterback Drew Brees has been opened as a +350 favorite to win the passing title again in 2013. His 5,476 passing yards in 2011 set a new NFL single-season record that was previously held by Dan Marino, who threw for 5,084 yards back in 1984.
The second-favorite to throw for the most yards this season is Denver’s Peyton Manning. After missing the entire 2011 season while recovering from neck surgery, he returned last season to pass for 4.659 yards, which was the sixth-highest total in the league. The addition of wide receiver Wes Welker as a free agent from New England only adds value his +500 odds.
The next two favorites to win the passing title at +650 are Aaron Rodgers from Green Bay and Detroit’s Matthew Stafford. Rodgers will routinely throw for well over 4,000 yards a season, but he has not finished higher than fifth in this category in the past three seasons. Stafford is definitely a player to watch at these odds after ending-up third in 2011 (5,038 yards) and second in 2012 (4,967 yards)
Most Rushing Yards
Minnesota’s Adrian Peterson owned this category last season with 2,097 yards rushing, which was the second-highest single season total in NFL history. He has been opened at +350 to win the rushing title again in 2013, but you have to wonder how well will the seven-year vet hold up over the course of 16 games after rushing the ball 348 times last year.
Seattle’s Marshawn Lynch has been opened as a +650 second-favorite to top this list in 2013. He finished third last season with 1,590 yards after rushing for 1,204 yards in 2011 so you know his name will stay near the top of this year’s list as long as he stays healthy. The one drain on the odds could be the addition of running back Christine Michael, who was selected by the Seahawks in the second round of this year’s draft.
A few other running backs to watch are Houston’s Arian Foster at +800 and Washington’s Alfred Morris at +1000. Of the two, I like Morris’s chances the best after running for 1,613 yards as a rookie last year. He carried the ball 335 times last season but this number should go up as the Redskins try and protect Robert Griffin III surgically repaired knee.
Most Passing Yards
In this category you could almost go with Detroit’s Calvin Johnson against the field. The league’s best receiving threat set a new NFL single-season receiving mark in 2012 with 1,964 yards on 122 receptions. This followed a total of 1,681 receiving yards in 2011 which was also the most in the NFL that year. He has been opened at +300 to win the title again this season. Given the Lions’ propensity to throw the ball all day long with Stafford under center it would be hard to bet against him.
A few of the other leading contenders in this category include Chicago’s Brandon Marshall at +650 along with Dez Bryant (Dallas) and AJ Green (Cincinnati) at +800. Given a choice, you would have to go with Marshall as the likely candidate to unseat Johnson. The arrival of offensive guru Marc Trestman as the Bears new head coach could pave the way for a very big year for the combination of Jay Cutler to Marshall, which connected for 1,508 yards last season under the old regime.
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