2013 Super Bowl Odds Through Week 15
Week 15 of the 2013 NFL season is said and done with, and today, we are going to be looking at some of the best and most valuable odds to win the Super Bowl as we continue on with the campaign.
1: Seattle Seahawks (+240) – It’s not really a great price as we see it, but the fact of the matter is that it’s really tough to go against the Seahawks right now. They haven’t lost a game at home since QB Russell Wilson took over as the team’s starting quarterback last season, and the colder and drearier it gets in Seattle, the tougher it is to win a game at CenturyLink Field. The road to the Super Bowl is going to go through Seattle, and there really isn’t a great team in the NFC which we can see stopping that. The Eagles are about the only team which we could see posing a threat to knock off the Seahawks in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, as we really don’t think the Saints or Panthers can win two games on the road in a row with the second coming in Seattle, and we know that the 49ers or Cardinals would likely get trashed at CenturyLink as well. The only team the Seahawks wouldn’t be favored over in the Super Bowl, if there even is one, is Denver, and that’s why, more or less by process of elimination more than anything else, we have no choice but to go with the Seahawks, even at such a small price.
2: Cincinnati Bengals (+2000) – You’ll notice that there are only three teams which have Super Bowl odds at +750 or better, and that leaves some good value for the rest of the field. We’ll admit that we are scared by the fact that the Bengals have been playing shoddy football of late, but if we are going to give the benefit of the doubt to the Seahawks about home field advantage, we should certainly consider Cincinnati’s home field edge as well. The Bengals have won and covered all six of their home games thus far, and if they continue to win their final two home games as they really should, they would likely get a first round bye and a home game in the Divisional Round of the postseason. If that’s how this pans out – and yes, we know there is still a somewhat realistic possibility that the Bengals miss out on the playoffs – it would be tough to justify how getting this 20 to 1 price isn’t a heck of a steal. Even if the Bengals did end up as the #3 seed, they would be comfortable favorites in the Wild Card round, and we are fairly certain they wouldn’t be much more than perhaps a point or two underdog against the Pats.
3: Baltimore Ravens (+3300) – As much as we think the Ravens are a flawed team this year, we also think they are a touched team right now. They have won their last two games based on a feverish final two minutes of a game where they should have won the game twice and lost it twice and based on a 61-yard field goal in a game in which they didn’t score a touchdown. Here’s the thing, though. Baltimore isn’t afraid to go on the road in the playoffs. It did so time and time again last year, and it would do so time and time again this year if it needed to. QB Joe Flacco managed to win games which he never should have had a shot at winning in the postseason, and he ultimately won the Super Bowl and got paid the big bucks. It was only five weeks ago we said that the Ravens had a great shot at beating the Super Bowl odds at 100 to 1, and though the price is significantly lower now, the situation looks a lot better for Baltimore. Winning these last two games not only wins the AFC South, but in the end, it might ultimately get the #2 seed in the AFC playoffs as well if the Patriots slide in their last two.
4: Philadelphia Eagles (+3300) – The only question we are going to ask ourselves here about NFC teams is whether they can go into Seattle and win in the playoffs. We think that answer is a resounding no to the teams in the NFC South and the NFC West, and the only teams left that we think can do it are the Packers and the Eagles. Philly is in the much better position right now to do damage, and we think things are setting up well for it going into the second season if it gets there. With a win this week and a win next week, the Eagles will be the #3 seed in the NFC playoffs, and they would be traveling to the NFC South winner. Now, Carolina is a tough draw, and the way this team plays football would make it a really tough battle. However, this time of year, we are seeing teams wear down just a bit, and the Eagles and their hurry-up offense are really putting a strain on a lot of defenses. This could be a total flameout of a team in the playoffs, but it could also be the most dangerous team in the land.
5: San Diego Chargers (+7500) – San Diego probably isn’t going to get into the playoffs, but there is still the possibility, and it will either be the best Wild Card team in the AFC or the best team not to make the playoffs in the NFL. The Bolts really need the Patriots to go on the road and beat the Ravens this week. If that’s how this plays out, San Diego will ultimately become the favorite to get into the playoffs in the AFC as that last Wild Card team. The Broncos, having now been outscored by three TDs in the last six quarters which they have played against San Diego, have to be terrorized by the idea of playing this team in the playoffs, and we wouldn’t feel good for whichever team ended up being the #3 seed, even if it was Cincinnati. The Chargers are the one team that can throw a wrench into the works for just about everyone, and QB Philip Rivers would love nothing more than to send a message back to QB Eli Manning, who has those two Super Bowl rings, that he was indeed worth the trade which the Bolts made way back when in the NFL Draft.