December 3, 2010

ACC Championship Game Betting: Florida State Seminoles vs. Virginia Tech Hokies Pick



Florida State Seminoles
(9-3, 7-5 ATS)

Virginia Tech Hokies
(10-2, 9-3 ATS)

For the second time in these two schools’ histories, the Virginia Tech Hokies and Florida State Seminoles will meet up in the ACC Championship Game. It is rather undisputed that these were the best two teams in the conference all season long, and the winner of the this NCAA football betting battle in Charlotte will be going to the Orange Bowl as a result. The loser has already been guaranteed a spot in the Chic-Fil-A Bowl in Atlanta on New Year’s Eve.

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What we have to remember about the Seminoles is that they are legitimately just two bad plays away from being 11-1 and perhaps playing for a berth in the BCS Championship Game if the cards had fallen right. The only really terrible game all season long came against the Oklahoma Sooners. The offense hasn’t been the greatest at times, but HC Jimbo Fisher, and offensive mastermind, has found a way to put 31.7 points per game on the board. Averaging 393.2 yards per game is just a modest No. 53 in the land, but there is nothing to really complain about in ACC play, where Florida State scored at least 30 points five times. The defense is where things have really gotten good for the garnet and gold. The Noles absolutely dominated the Florida Gators from start to finish last week at Doak Campbell Stadium, snapping their six game losing streak in this series. It was probably the second best effort of the season for the ‘D’, while held nine different foes in the teens or fewer in points this year. Over the last three games, the Clemson Tigers, Maryland Terrapins, and Florida Gators have combined to score just 36 points against this defense, and if V-Tech can’t do better than that, FSU is going to be going to the BCS.

Virginia Tech is probably one of the best ten teams in the nation though, and HC Frank Beamer knew that he really let one slide when his team was taken out of the BCS Championship picture in that loss to the James Madison Dukes. QB Tyrod Taylor won’t be a Heisman Trophy player this year, but the argument could be made that he is the MVP in the nation. In a year in which RB Ryan Williams was held out of action for awhile and was largely ineffective when he was in the fold, Taylor did everything that he could to keep his team in it. He never left his head down when the team started at 0-2 on the year, and he ended up with some fantastic stats to show for it. The senior leader threw for 2,258 yards and 20 TDs against four picks, and he rushed for 613 more yards and four scores. My, how hanging onto the football made a world of difference for these guys! The Hokies averaged 34.8 points per game on the campaign, more than enough for a rock solid defense to post a ten win season.

The Hokies are in great shape right now, but we feel as though they are being overinflated in this one thanks to their 9-1 ATS streak over these ten games. Florida State is good enough to win this one, and though it might not be able to pull off the feat, it probably is good enough to keep this one very, very close the entire time.

ACC Championship Free Pick: Florida State Seminoles +5

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