September 6, 2012

AFC Top Three Matchups – NFL Week 1

AFC Top Three Matchups – Week 1

The new NFL regular season kicks off this Wednesday night with a NFC East showdown between the Dallas Cowboys and the New Giants, but there are a couple of critical AFC matchups on Sunday and Monday’s slate of games. The following is a handicapping report for the top three games in the conference with lines provided by JustBet.

Sunday, Sept.9

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets (-1.5) Total Line: 40.5

Buffalo comes into this AFC East rivalry with a 6-1 record against the spread in its last seven opening-day games. The Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the division and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games on the road. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last nine road games.

New York is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games overall and 1-4 ATS in its last five games against the AFC. The total has gone OVER in four of its last five home games and in nine of its last 13 games against the AFC East.

Head-to-head, the Bills have failed to cover in four of the last five meetings overall, but are 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to New York. The underdog in this series is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games in New York.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos (-1) Total Line: 44.5

Pittsburgh has covered the spread in five of its last seven Week 1 games. It is 0-4 ATS in its last four games on the road and 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall. The total has stayed UNDER in six of its last seven games.

Denver is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven opening-day games and 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall. The total has gone OVER in 14 of its last 19 home games and in four of its last five games overall.

The road team in this series is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and the underdog has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings including the Broncos 29-23 overtime victory in last year’s playoffs as 7.5-point underdogs at home.

Monday, Sept.10

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens (-6) Total Line: 40.5

Cincinnati is just 1-6-2 ATS in its last nine games and 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games against the AFC North. The total has gone OVER in 10 of its last 14 games overall and in five of its last six divisional games.

Baltimore has covered in its last four opening-day games. It is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 September games and 5-2 ATS in its last seven games on Monday night. The total has stayed UNDER in six of its last eight games overall.

The Bengals have covered the spread in three of the last five meetings in Baltimore and in four of the last six meetings overall. The underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five games in Baltimore.

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Dave Schwab

DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.

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