Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins 5/20/08 Preview

MLB Betting Preview
Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins
Tuesday, 7:10 pm Eastern

SBG Global Opening Line: Diamondbacks  – 121, Total  9 Flat

Two division leaders open up a three game set on Tuesday as the Florida Marlins host the Arizona Diamondbacks.  The Diamondbacks lead the National League West while the Marlins lead the National League East.  The Diamondbacks are playing well of late while the Marlins have slumped.  That could change though as Arizona plays 26 of their next 38 games on the road. “You’re going to play 81 at home, you’re going to play 81 on the road,” Diamondbacks manager Bob Melvin said. “We’ve played a few more at home, and now it looks like most of June we’re on the road, but this is a team that’s not afraid to play on the road. It’s the way the schedule plays out.”  SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Diamondbacks on the Road.

The Marlins lost to Kansas City 9-3 on Sunday and have dropped five of six following a season-high six-game winning streak. “It’s definitely nice to know we’re still in first place,” said second baseman Dan Uggla, “We can pull out of this, trust me.” The Marlins have been in first place or held at least partial ownership of first place for 34 days. The last time the Marlins held a share of first place this late in the season was in 2004.

Mark Hendrickson gets the start for Florida.  He has a 5-2 record with a 3.91 ERA.  He gave up four runs, eight hits and had five walks in five innings of a 5-3 loss to Cincinnati last Tuesday. “The last two games, I’ve had trouble finding my rhythm,” said Hendrickson, “The hits you can’t control, but the walks made it hard on myself. A lot of my problems were self-induced.” Hendrickson is 3-1 with a 3.70 ERA in four career starts versus the Diamondbacks. Last season in three games (one start) he threw 8 1/3 scoreless innings against Arizona. The Marlins could also use some help from Hanley Ramirez. He is 1-for-7 with a walk and five strikeouts since signing his six-year, $70 million deal.

SBG Global Current Line: Diamondbacks  – 114, Total  9 Over -120

Arizona sends out Micah Owings on Tuesday.  He is 5-1 with a 3.81 ERA on the season. He allowed five hits and struck out five in six scoreless innings of a 4-3 win over Colorado on Wednesday.  He pitched against Florida last year and gave up four runs and six hits in just three innings but the Diamondbacks won the game. Arizona won 6 of the 7 meetings against Florida last season. 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Tuesday’s game.  The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 Tuesday games. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
The Diamondbacks are 18-7 in their last 25 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Diamondbacks are 23-10 in their last 33 vs. the National League East. The Diamondbacks are 20-9 in their last 29 games as a road favorite.
The Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Owings’ last 5 starts as a road favorite. The Diamondbacks are 0-6 in Owings’ last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Diamondbacks are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Florida.

The Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 home games. The Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Marlins are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. the National League West. The Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. The Marlins are 4-0 in Hendrickson’s last 4 home starts. The Marlins are 5-2 in Hendrickson’s last 7 starts as an underdog.

The Over is 5-1-1 in the Diamondbacks last 7 Tuesday games. The Under is 4-1 in the Diamondbacks last 5 games as a favorite. The Under is 4-1 in the Diamondbacks last 5 overall. The Under is 4-1 in the Diamondbacks last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 4-1-1 in Owings’ last 6 starts vs. the National League East. The Under is 7-2-1 in Owings’ last 10 starts as a favorite. The Under is 5-2-1 in Owings’ last 8 starts overall.

The Over is 4-0 in the Marlins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 10-1 in the Marlins last 11 vs. the National League West. The Over is 5-1-1 in the Marlins last 7 games as an underdog. The Under is 4-1 in the Marlins last 5 Tuesday games. The Over is 19-7 in the Marlins last 26 games a home underdog. The Over is 9-4 in the Marlins last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 27-13-2 in the Marlins last 42 home games.
The Over is 4-1 in Hendrickson’s last 5 home starts.

Pick Over 9 3units

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