September 1, 2007

Atlanta Braves at NY Mets 9/01/07

The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves continue their important National League East series on Saturday as the New York Mets turn to Mike Pelfrey while the Atlanta Braves go with Chuck James. The Mets are going with Pelfrey in this spot instead of Brian Lawrence who was very ineffective in his five starts. SBG Global reports that early betting has the public taking the favored Braves at home.

Chuck James returns to the Braves rotation after spending two weeks on the disabled list to rest a dead arm. James has lost twice to the Mets this season and has given up nine runs in 10 innings.

The Mets were just swept by the Phillies but still lead the National League East. The Braves are also very much in the picture. “Every out, every inning, every man on base becomes more important,” Braves outfielder Jeff Francoeur said. “We’ve just got to start winning games. We have to win a lot in a row to get to [the playoffs.”

SBG Global Current Line: Braves -130, Total 10 Over (-120)

The Braves have not had a winning month since April when they went 16-9. The Braves are only in the race because the Mets have struggled. Atlanta didn’t do much on their recent road trip, going 4-6 but the Mets did not play much better. “I don’t like our position as much as theirs,” Atlanta pitcher John Smoltz said, “But if we get hot, we still have a chance.”

The Mets have struggled against the Braves this season. They are just 4-8 against the Braves and they have been terrible at Turner Field. They are 6-21 in the month of September at Turner Field against the Braves. “Turn the page,” Mets manager Willie Randolph said, “We’ll deal with Atlanta now. We’ve just got to keep playing.”

Here were the betting statistics heading into Friday’s action. The Mets are 24-11 in their last 35 Saturday games. The Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. the National League East. The Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. The Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games on Grass. The Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 overall. The Mets are 1-10 in Pelfrey’s last 11 starts. The Mets are 0-4 in Pelfrey’s last 4 starts vs. the National League East. The Mets are 0-4 in Pelfrey’s last 4 road starts. The Mets are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in Atlanta and the Mets are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings between the two teams overall.

The Braves are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Braves are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Braves are 5-1 in James’ last 6 Saturday starts. The Braves are 2-5 in James’ last 7 starts vs. The National League East.

The Under is 5-1-1 in the Mets last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The Under is 5-1-1 in the Mets last 7 overall. The Under is 4-1 in the Mets last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 10-3-2 in the Mets last 15 road games. The Over is 5-2-2 in the Mets last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

The Under is 5-1 in the Braves last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Over is 9-3 in the Braves last 12 home games. The Over is 22-8-3 in the Braves last 33 Saturday games. The Over is 7-3 in the Braves last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 9-4 in the Braves last 13 vs. National League East. The Over is 37-17-2 in the Braves last 56 overall. The Under is 5-1-1 in James’ last 7 starts vs. the National League East. The Over is 4-1 in James’ last 5 home starts. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta between the two teams.

Pick Mets +120 2 units out of 5

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Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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