Atlanta Braves at NY Mets 9/11/07
Opening Line: Mets -160, Total 9.5 Under (-115)
The Atlanta Braves will try and stay on life support in the National League playoff picture as they continue their series in New York against the Mets. Buddy Carlyle gets the start for Atlanta while New York counters with Orlando Hernandez. SBG Global reports that early betting has the public taking the favored Mets at home.
Carlyle has not pitched that well for the Braves this season. He is 8-6 but his ERA is 5.21. He didn’t even make it out of the second inning in his last start giving up three runs on four hits and three walks. He did beat the Mets earlier this year holding them to three runs on six hits in five innings.
The Mets go with El Duque on Tuesday. He has had the last 10 days off with a ligament strain in his right foot. He is 9-4 with an ERA of 3.32 on the year. He has pitched twice against the Braves this season and has not gotten a decision but his ERA is 2.77.
SBG Global Current Line: Mets -160, Total 9.5 Under (-115)
Here were the betting statistics heading into Monday’s action. The Braves are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. The Braves are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog. The Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Braves are 1-4 in Carlyle’s last 5 starts. The Braves are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings between the two teams.
The Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 overall. The Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite. The Mets are 4-0 in Hernandez’s last 4 starts as a home favorite. The Mets are 4-1 in Hernandez’s last 5 starts vs. the National League East.
The Under is 4-1 in the Braves last 5 games as an underdog. The Under is 6-2 in the Braves last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 5-2 in Carlyle’s last 7 starts overall.
The Under is 5-1 in the Mets last 6 vs. the National League East. The Under is 5-1 in the Mets last 6 games as a home favorite. The Under is 11-4-1 in the Mets last 16 overall. The Under is 5-2 in the Mets last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 16-1 in Hernandez’s last 17 home starts. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between the two teams but the Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York. Pick Mets -160 2 units out of 5
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