NFL Football Betting Preview
Atlanta Falcons (5-4) at New York Giants (5-4)
Sunday November 22nd, 1:00PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – New York -6.5, 46 O/U
The New York Giants attempt to get back on track after dropping 4 straight games this weekend when they host the Atlanta Falcons Sunday afternoon. The Giants had extra time to get the kinks worked out following their bye week and they will try to take down a Falcons team who has also been struggling in recent weeks. Atlanta has dropped 3 of their last 4 games including a 28-19 loss to the Panthers last week.
Both teams have experienced similar problems from their defenses as of late and it will be interesting to see if any defense comes through Sunday. The Giants are 6.5 point favorites entering the contest and the betting public is also favoring the home team a lopsided 5 to 1 against the spread. However, Matt Ryan and the Falcons will attempt to spoil those plans.
The biggest downside in siding with Atlanta this week is that they have played bad on the road this year. The Falcons are just 1-4 SU on the road this season and their only win away from home was to the 49ers. QB Matt Ryan has shown signs of the sophomore jinx throwing 10 interceptions in the last 5 games and is completing just 59% on the season. Wide receiver Roddy White and tight end Tony Gonzalez are excellent targets, but the Falcons lack any other playmakers in the passing games. Defenses have approached the Falcons offense with zone coverage and with safety help favoring White.
Ryan has been able to complete some passes, but has also had a bunch picked off in the process due to defenses staying in the passing lanes. Running back Michael Turner is averaging 5 yards per carry and has racked up over 800 yards on the season. Turner has rushed for 3 straight 100 yard games and he is becoming a bigger focus for the offense to keep away from the turnovers in the passing game. The Giants defense has struggled in recent weeks mainly against the pass so Atlanta will definitely go to the air, but expect Turner to again be the consistent production on the ground.
The Giants defense which was the strength of the team through the first 5 games holding opponents to just 14.2 points per game. However, the defense has made a complete 160 degree turn allowing 33 points per game in their last 4 contests. The main problem may be difficult to diagnose. The pass defense ranks 2nd in the NFL, but gave up over 349 yards to Drew Brees and the Saints. The Giants let the Eagles run wild for over 200 yards on the ground and gave up 4 turnovers in the loss to Arizona. To put things a little simpler, they are just not playing like they should and need to have a good outing to get the momentum back.
The Giants ground game is an effective force behind Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw who have combined for over 1,100 yards. However, if the team is going to get their steam back on offense it will come from QB Eli Manning. Manning had his worse two game stretch in back to back performances to Arizona and Philadelphia throwing 5 picks while completing just 51%. These are the same type struggles that doomed the Giants in the latter part of 2008 and it will be up to Manning to right the ship. Wide receivers Steve Smith, Mario Manningham, and Hakeem Nicks are going to become a great group of guys in the near future considering how young they are. Smith leads the team with 719 yards and gives the best reliable option. The receivers are good enough now to give the Giants the threat they need in the passing game while letting Bradshaw and Jacobs win games on the ground. However, they simply got to go out and perform better than they have in recent weeks.
Pick – Giants bounce back at least for one week and their defense stifles Atlanta