Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots Preview and Pick

NFL Football Betting Preview
Baltimore Ravens (3-0) at New England Patriots (2-1)
Sunday October 4th, 1:00PM Eastern betting line – New England -2.5, 44.5 O/U

AFC powerhouses collide this Sunday in Foxboro as the Baltimore Ravens take their 3-0 campaign to Gillette Stadium to battle the New England Patriots. Baltimore is on the verge of emerging as a top AFC contender while the Patriots have not appeared to be as dominant as predicted. The Patriots are focusing on getting the offense back on track and a win could place them right back on top the AFC if they can take down the Ravens this Sunday. The Ravens on the other hand have an offense that is playing better expected ranking 2nd in total yards thus far this season. However, the Ravens strength remains on defense which will be the guys who attempt to put a halt to Tom Brady and Patriots offense.

These two talented AFC teams have rarely met over the last few seasons with New England winning the last meeting 27-24 back in 2007. This will be just the 2nd meeting in the last 5 seasons, but will be among two of the heaviest favored teams to win the AFC Championship. New England is the leading favorite receiving +325 odds to win the AFC while Baltimore is the 3rd best favorite behind San Diego at +500 odds. However, the Ravens have already defeated the Chargers this season 31-26 and seek to slay another conference giant this week. The Ravens are averaging 430 yards per game behind Joe Flacco who is in just his 2nd year in the league.

A lot of the attention was taken away from Flacco in his impressive rookie season due to Matt Ryan’s tremendous rookie campaign. However, Flacco is looking very strong in his sophomore type season completing 65% with 6 touchdowns and 2 picks. The Ravens passing offense led by their emerging quarterback is averaging 280 yards per game and is coming off a career high 342 yards in last week’s 34-3 win over Cleveland. Derrick Mason got back on track last week catching 5 passes for 118 yards which will make the Ravens even tougher in the passing game if he can put up similar numbers to his 2008 crusade. The passing game now goes to take on a Patriots defense that is among just 3 teams this season to have not recorded a single interception.

Of course the Patriots defense has never been the side of the ball to get much attention considering their offense has dominated the league for some time with Brady behind center. However, the Patriots have not been very explosive averaging just 20 points per game and were held to just 9 points without scoring a single touchdown in their loss to the New York Jets. The Jets defense shut down the Patriots offense in that game and the offense has yet to have any type of explosive performance. If that continues, the Ravens defense is going to make it very tough to get back on the right track. Brady is posting the yardage averaging 290 per game, but the Patriots star quarterback has just 3 passing touchdowns all season.

WR Randy Moss is still being plenty productive catching 26 passes (most in NFL) and posting 281 yards in just 3 games. However, the Patriots offense has yet to get Wes Welker going with the offense. Welker actually led the team in receiving yards last season with 1165, but has just 93 through the first 3 games. If the offense can get Welker back to playing a bigger role, perhaps the entire passing game will be more effective. Still, the Patriots offense will have to overcome an extremely talented secondary led by Ed Reed who led the NFL last season with 9 interceptions and has 1 this season as well.

Pick – Ravens +2.5

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