The NFL playoffs continue this week, and the Baltimore Ravens and the Denver Broncos are set to do battle. Check out some of the NFL prop bets that are available at BetDSI, as we analyze the betting lines and see which sides to play.
Total Punts Over 10 (-115): You really don’t think of the Broncos as a team that punted the football a lot this year, but if that’s what you think, go back and look at the stats. P Britton Colquitt actually booted the ball away 67 times this year, including posting eight games with at least five punts this year. Colquitt had a whopping eight punts when these two teams met the first time a few weeks ago. P Sam Koch had 83 punts this year, including seven punts against the Broncos. Since Week 11 against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Koch has punted at least seven times in four games, and he has averaged 6.6 punts per game. There’s a great chance that this one will feature at least 10 punts on Saturday afternoon.
Bernard Pierce Rushing Yards Under 36.5 (-115): This is really a tough one. Over the course of the last few weeks, Pierce has become a huge cog in the Baltimore lineup. He has rushed for 103, 89, and 123 yards in his last three games. Just based upon that, it seems like a given that Pierce should get to at least 37 yards, right? Maybe not so much. If you take those three games out, Pierce averaged just 22.8 yards per game. He only had two games from Week 1 through Week 15 with more than 34 yards. That’s just not good enough. Last week, RB Ray Rice fumbled twice, and that’s why Pierce ended up getting 13 carries. We just don’t see that happening this week, especially against a fantastic rush defense.
Peyton Manning Over 2.5 Touchdown Passes (+140): Manning threw for three TD passes in half of his games this year, and now, it’s time for the big time in the playoffs. The Baltimore defense has been lousy for a good chunk of the season, and though last week, the team didn’t allow a single touchdown, it did allow over 400 total yards on the day. Manning could fight through this defense and get a few TDs on the board, and we think that he has the ability to do that in this one right around half the time, which makes this a great bet at +140.
Knowshon Moreno To Not Score a Touchdown (+110): If you’re a believer in Manning like we are, it’s clear that Moreno probably won’t get into the end zone more than half the time. The former Georgia Bulldog has only played in half of the games this year, and he only scored in half of those games. The Broncos would rather throw the football than run it, though the team did keep the ball on the ground quite a bit when these two teams met the first time. It’s a 50/50 proposition, and it’s one where we’ll take our chances.
Demaryius Thomas Over 87 Receiving Yards (-115): Thomas picked up over 100 yards through the air in each of his last two games this year, and he could be in for a big one against the Baltimore secondary, which is sometimes suspect, to say the least. Remember that last year in the playoffs, Thomas was the hero that scored the touchdown in Denver’s first playoff game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, and now that he has a legitimate NFL quarterback throwing him the ball, and a darn good one at that in Manning, he could be in for another triple digit receiving day.
Elvis Dumervil To Not Record a Sack or Half Sack (+135): Ballsy play, eh? Dumervil had 11 sacks this year, and he has now had 37.5 sacks over the course of his last three seasons played. That being said, it really seems like a bad price to bet on Dumervil to actually get to QB Joe Flacco. Remember that he had a sack in just nine out of 16 games this year. Yes, one of those sacks did come against the Ravens, but that doesn’t mean that he is going to be able to do it again. The Baltimore offensive line could be in for a better day, and we don’t think that Flacco is going to have to throw the ball 40+ times in this one like he did a few weeks ago.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.