October 20, 2012

Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans Pick

NFL Picks

Preview


Baltimore Ravens
vs.
Houston Texans

Date/Time: October 21st, 1:00 P.M. ET

Television: CBS

NFL Odds from BetDSI

Point Spread: Houston -6.5

Total: 48

BetDSI

 

NFL Betting Game Trends

Baltimore Ravens

  • Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

Houston Texans

  • Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston’s last 12 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games at home
  • Houston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
  • Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
  • Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore

 

Game Overview

The Houston Texans and the Baltimore Ravens battle it out for the top spot in the AFC playoff picture in what might prove to be the determining factor in which team hosts the AFC Championship Game in 2013.

The Ravens really got some big time bad news this week along their defense. They not only will be without LB Ray Lewis for the rest of the year, but the bigger injury that they might have suffered is that of DB LaDarius Webb, who is their best cover corner. LB Terrell Suggs says that he is playing for the first time this year off of his Achilles injury suffered in the offseason, but we’ll believe that when we see it. If Suggs isn’t out there, that’s a huge portion of what was once a vaunted defense that will be in street clothes. Remember that others like DT Haloti Ngata (knee), DT Ma’ake Kemoeatu (knee), and DB Jimmy Smith (abdomen) are all listed as questionable for this game as well. That’s going to heap a ton of pressure on the offense to go against one of the best defenses that the league has to offer. RB Ray Rice had two rushing touchdowns last week, but he is going to be hard pressed to do it again this week against a team that has yet to allow a rushing touchdown on the campaign.

The Texans are coming off of their worst game of the season, a bad 42-24 loss to the Green Bay Packers that, quite frankly, wasn’t nearly that close in the end. QB Matt Schaub was a disaster, RB Arian Foster, in spite of his two touchdowns, really never got anything going anywhere outside of the Green Bay 5-yard line, and the defense just had no answer for a great passing attack. QB Joe Flacco is going to be bringing a similar style to the Lone Star State this week, and that definitely could be a cause for concern, especially knowing just how badly DB Johnathan Joseph and the defense played last week in its first game without LB Brian Cushing. Do remember that DE JJ Watt is the league leader in sacks, and he truly might be the best defensive player in the entire league at this point in just his second year.

Prediction

This feels like a heck of a lot of points that the Texans are laying, but it seems to be justified to us. This is the biggest game in franchise history at home, and it comes against a team with which there is a score to settle. Last year’s playoff game was proof that Houston could hang with Baltimore on the road. Now, take away Suggs, Lewis, and Webb for Baltimore and add in Schaub instead of QB TJ Yates for the Texans, and flip home field advantage. This could be a heck of a showcase game for the men in Battle Red. Houston 31 – Baltimore 17

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Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

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