October 5, 2012

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Pick

NFL Picks

Preview


Baltimore Ravens
vs.
Kansas City Chiefs

Date/Time: Sunday, October 7, 1:00 pm EST

Television: CBS

NFL Odds from Bookmaker

Point Spread: Ravens -6

Total: 46.5

 

NFL Betting Game Trends

Baltimore Ravens

  • Baltimore is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
  • Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Kansas City Chiefs

  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City’s last 15 games
  • Kansas City is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
  • Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City’s last 9 games at home
  • Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
  • Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

 

NFL Pick – Week 5

The Baltimore Ravens look like one of the best teams in the NFL through the first four games of the season. Some expected a big bounce back season from Kansas City, but it hasn’t happened thus far. The Chiefs are still looking for their first win at home. Kansas City always has a nice home field advantage. Can Baltimore go on the road and win or will it be Kansas City getting their first home win of the season?

Game Overview:

Joe Flacco has had to defend himself quite a few times in the past, but Flacco has obviously matured a great deal as a quarterback over the past couple years. Flacco has thrown seven touchdowns and three interceptions Even bigger than that, Flacco has been able to show he can come up big in the clutch. Ray Rice is arguably the best running back in the NFL. Rice is averaging 5.0 yards per carry. He also leads the team with 22 receptions. There isn’t a more versatile running back in the league. How good have the Ravens been so far this year on offense? This unit ranks second in the NFL in total offense.

Baltimore’s defense has been the strength of the team for many years. They aren’t quite what they used to be, but they are still very good. Ray Lewis worked out hard in the offseason, and he is still one of the best linebackers in the game. Haloti Ngata is a dominating defensive tackle in the middle of the defense. Ed Reed is a step slower, but he is still a play maker at the back of the defense. This unit misses Terrell Suggs, but I expect them to still be very good this season.

Kansas City was a good team a couple years ago, but it all fell apart for the Chiefs last year. They looked like a team that could rebound this year, but that hasn’t happened. The Chiefs went into New Orleans and upset the Saints, but they have been blasted in their other three games this year. Matt Cassel hasn’t been good at all. Cassel is completing only 58.4% of his passes, and he has thrown seven interceptions and just five touchdowns. They need better play out of him. Jamaal Charles is averaging 5.7 yards per carry, and he is showing that fine form that he had two seasons ago. The Chiefs are fourth in the NFL in total offense, but turnovers have led to them averaging only 22 points per game.

Kansas City had serious injury problems on the defensive side of the ball last year, and the injuries are starting to mount up a bit again this season. Still, this is a unit that should be performing better than they are right now. They have young play makers like Tamba Hali and Eric Berry. Hali is a sack machine, while Berry is one of the best young safeties in the league. Kansas City is allowing 34 points per game so far this year, which is second worst in the NFL.

Prediction:

The Ravens are the much more complete team. Kansas City is a tough place to play, but the Chiefs have been blown out at home twice already this year. Baltimore should take care of business. Look for the Ravens to cover.

Baltimore 31 Kansas City 20

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Kyle Hunter

is full-timesports writer and sports handicapper. You simply won’t find someone who loves sports more than Kyle. Kyle considers college football and college basketball his two favorite sports. Kyle has earned many accolades for his highly successful handicapping, and he writes full-time for many top sports websites. Keep an eye out for high quality free sports analysis from Kyle!

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