Baylor Bears vs. Texas A&M Aggies Picks: 2011 College Basketball Picks
(14-7, 4-10 ATS)
Texas A&M Aggies
(17-4, 7-5-1 ATS)
The Lone Star State will be taking center stage on Saturday afternoon for college basketball betting action, as the Baylor Bears hope to get back on track against the Texas A&M Aggies at Reed Arena.
It’s really hard to think that the Bears might be on the outside of the NCAA Tournament looking in just a year after being in the Elite 8, but this is a real possibility. LaceDarius Dunn is doing his part, averaging 20.7 points per game, but he really isn’t getting all that much help from the rest of his teammates. Perry Jones III and Quincy Acy are both double digit point scorers, but Anthony Jones, AJ Walton and company just aren’t getting the job done. A scoring average of 72.0 points per game is great, but a defensive average points per game of 61.9 points allowed isn’t really indicative of what has gone on in conference, where Baylor has lost four of its last six games. The defense has only held one team under its scoring average in recent weeks, but aside from that, the squad has averaged well over 70 points per game allowed, a far cry from the average.
The Aggies have really been the most pleasant surprise this year in the Big XII, as they have jumped from absolutely nowhere in the first rankings of the season all the way up to No. 16 in the country. Just making the NCAA Tournament would have thrilled the fans at Reed Arena, but now, their sights are set on a Big XII title and perhaps a deep run into March Madness. However, of the team’s four losses this season, three have occurred in the last two and a half weeks. Of course, two of those defeats were at the hands of the Texas Longhorns, losses which are very excusable at this point, but there is still definitely some cause for concern that A&M has only put 49 and 48 points up on the board in its last two games overall. When you look at the offensive figures for the Aggies, you don’t see a ton of stars that scare you. After all, Khris Middleton is the only player on the squad that is averaging more than 11 points per game this year, and he is only averaging 14.8 points per game. David Loubeau is the only other double digit point scorer at 10.6 points per game, but the rest of this team really isn’t supposed to be scoring points, just playing fantastic defense.
Don’t be overly shocked if this one gets a bit ugly. The Aggies have got to get back on track eventually, and they are the team that is more likely to do the damage with some stellar defense and a home field advantage on Saturday. Reed Arena should be rockin’.
NCAA Basketball Free Pick: Texas A&M Aggies
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