June 18, 2013

Bellator 96: Sobral vs. Noe Pick and Preview

Bellator 96: Sobral vs. Noe

Wednesday, June 19 – 10:40 p.m. ET

Winstar World Casino – Thackerville, OK

Renato Sobral (37-10) vs. Jacob Noe (11-2)

Light heavyweight bout

Line: Sobral -170, Noe +130

After having a nine-fight winning streak snapped his last time out, Jacob Noe will look to right himself as a slight underdog against veteran Renato Sobral as part of Wednesday’s Bellator 96 event.

With 47 career matches under his belt, Sobral’s experience is unquestionable, but his form has some issues. A former Strikeforce light heavyweight champ, he has now lost three of his past five fights. The first two of those were to top-notch fighters in Gegard Mousasi and Dan Henderson, but his most recent defeat was a Bellator Season 8 Light Heavyweight Quarterfinal loss to Mikhail Zayats. Noe lost to Zayats in the semifinals after beating Seth Petruzelli, who is headlining this card against Muhammed Lawal. Ultimately, Noe is the intriguing play here as a slight underdog with upside, while Sobral appears to be on the downside of his career. Play on NOE.

At 6-feet-0, Sobral is two inches shorter than Noe, though his 76-inch reach is one inch longer. He has a strong MMA track record with a 6-4 record for UFC, and his Jiu-Jitsu skills have taken him everywhere he’s gone. He is also an elite wrestler, so he likes to play on the mat. Nineteen of his 37 career wins have been submissions, but he also owns 13 decisions and five knockouts. Noe’s loss to Zayats was an armbar submission, which is how Sobral won his last fight, a 31-second victory against Tatsuya Mizuno.

Noe has five submissions, five knockouts and one decision to his name. Each of his past two victories—against Petruzelli and Brian Albin—were TKOs. Each of Sobral’s past three losses have been knockouts. Noe may not be a wrestler like Sobral, but he does have a decent Jiu-Jitsu grappling attack and mixes it up with some Judo. Coming off his loss, this could be a strong signature win to make a name for himself.

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Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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