The NFL playoffs kick off this week, and the Minnesota Vikings and the Green Bay Packers are set to do battle. Check out some of the NFL prop bets that are available at BetDSI, as we analyze the betting lines and see which sides to play.
Clay Matthews Records A Sack or Half Sack (-240): Matthews played in just 11 full games this year, and he had 13 sacks in those games. The man is just a beast, and when push comes to shove, no one can stop him. He has had at least one sack in eight of those 11 games, and there is no reason to think that he won’t get his paws on QB Christian Ponder at least once in some way, shape, or form on Saturday night at home on a huge stage.
Jermichael Finley Under 54.5 Receiving Yards (-115): Finley is a tough read this week. He has a quad injury that could slow him down if he tries to give it a go (obviously if he doesn’t play, we just get refunded our money). He was nowhere to be found at the outset of the year, recording just one game from the start of the year through Week 9. All of a sudden at that point, he picked it up, averaging 56.6 receiving yards per game. Still, that’s not impressive enough for us with all of the other options that QB Aaron Rodgers has to throw the pigskin to. We think in the clutch, there are four other wide receivers that can make the big time plays, which could keep the ball out of Finley’s hands, especially if he is dinged up and can’t quite run as fluidly as he might have before getting hurt.
Adrian Peterson to Score a Rushing Touchdown (-220): It’s another chalky prop and a square one at that, but if the Vikings are going to keep up in this game, it’s All Day that needs to get himself in the end zone when push comes to shove. Peterson has rushed for a TD in all but two of his games since Week 7 when he really started to turn the corner this year, and there is no reason to believe, especially after scoring in each of the first two games this year, that he won’t be able to get into the end zone. AP is a lock for a TD on Saturday.
Adrian Peterson Under 126.5 Rushing Yards (-115): For as great as Peterson has been over the course of the year, and for everything that he has accomplished over the course of the last 10 weeks, we just don’t know if he is going to end up getting to this lofty total more often than not. It’s easy to say that Peterson ran the ball 34 times last week and has rushed the ball at least 21 times in his last five games, but even if he does carry the load for another 25 times in this one, that’s still 5.08 yards per carry that he has to average to get to this number. There’s just a point that too much is too much, and asking for 127 rushing yards more often than not, though definitely justifiable, is still too much.
Christian Ponder Under 17.5 Pass Completions (-115): Getting to 18 pass completions in a game isn’t all that difficult for a normal quarterback, but Ponder is going to be in for a rough one this time around. It’s 20 degrees outside and dropping through the night at Lambeau Field, conditions that a Florida State student never played in, especially in a game like this one against a team that knows all about you now. Ponder hasn’t completed more than 17 passes in a game since Thanksgiving Day weekend against the Chicago Bears, and he just doesn’t work the ball up the field. The offense is only going to go as far as Peterson takes it, and though we do think that Ponder is going to have to make some plays, there’s a difference between making some plays and ultimately completing 18 passes in horrifically cold weather.
Total Punts by Both Teams Over 8.5 (-115): P Tim Masthay booted the ball away 70 times this year for the Packers, while P Chris Kluwe did so 72 times for the Vikes. The two men barely touched the field in last week’s game, combining to punt the ball just six times, but when the teams met the first time here at Lambeau Field, there were nine punts between them. With the added pressure on the Minnesota offense and the weather being suspect, we could definitely see Kluwe having to punt six or seven times, something that he has done four times since Week 4. If that turns out to be the case, this is quite easy. Masthay has punted at least three times in every single game this year, save for the 28-27 win over the New Orleans Saints.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.