The Baltimore Ravens and the Cincinnati Bengals are set to do battle in NFL betting action on ESPN’s Monday Night Football, and here at Bang the Book, we are taking a peek at some of the NFL props for what should be yet another remarkable game on the gridiron.
Total Punts Over 9.5 (-140): We really wonder whether this new look “hurry up offense” for the Ravens is going to yield more plays or not in their games. We aren’t 100% sure that this preseason, that was highlighted by QB Joe Flacco throwing the ball all over the place, is truly going to be used that often in the regular season, but it is a threat that, at least for right now, has to be taken seriously. Cincinnati’s offense probably isn’t going to have all that much success against the Baltimore ‘D’, and the same might be true for the other side of the ball as well. There were plenty of games yesterday with at least 10 punts, and this could be no exception.
AJ Green Over 4.5 Receptions (-135): With a full offseason under his belt, Green might become a relatively sneaky play for Monday Night Football. The second year man out of Georgia is put on a measuring stick against the Atlanta Falcons’ WR Julio Jones, and if yesterday’s two TDs for Jones is any indication, this could be a great day for Green. The Baltimore defense won’t be quite as nasty without DE Terrell Suggs wreaking havoc off of the edges, and QB Andy Dalton should have some more time to get the ball out of his hands. Who else is going to be getting these looks in the Bengals offense? There just aren’t all that many more weapons to choose from.
Joe Flacco Over 19.5 Completions (-115): Call us a sucker, but we are buying into the fact that Flacco is going to throw the ball more this year. He has both of his tight ends back in TE Dennis Pitta and TE Ed Dickson, and he utilizes his check down back, RB Ray Rice a ton. Rice is going to be spending more time in the fold this year with RB Ricky Williams gone, and rather than run Rice into the ground, Flacco will be called upon for more throws, albeit shorter ones. He should be able to rip off at least five completions per quarter on average, because we just don’t see how Rice is going to be run more than 25 times. Eventually at his size and stature, Rice is going to break down if he keeps getting used like this, so Flacco should get a few more looks as a passer than you are probably used to seeing.
Torrey Smith Longest Reception Under 27.5 Yards (-115): Smith is a great deep threat, but he has to get the ball in his hands first to be able to be dangerous. Remember that aside from a three-TD game against the Pittsburgh Steelers last year, Smith didn’t do a whole heck of a lot. Sure, he could get sprung deep here and there, and the likelihood is there that he is going to be getting his two or three chances to beat us on this prop, but we’ll take our chances with the Cincinnati secondary to avoid the big play happening against it.
Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.