Big 12 Football-Week 3 Handicapping Guide
The Big 12 continued its strong start in non-conference play with the exception of Oklahoma State, which lost to Arizona 59-38 as a 10-point road favorite last Saturday. The conference, as a whole, heads into Week 3 with a 15-2 record straight-up and an 11-5 record against the spread. The following is a look at a couple of the top matchups this week in the Big 12 along with the opening spreads as provided by BetOnline.
Saturday, Sept. 15
No. 16 TCU Horned Frogs (-21) vs. Kansas Jayhawks
TCU remained idle in Week 1 but started off its first season in the Big 12 with a bang by crushing Grambling 56-0 last Saturday as a 51-point home favorite. This game was over before it started as the Horned Frogs 28 points in the first quarter. There was no posted total line for this game.
Kansas opened the season with a 31-17 victory over South Dakota State as a 21.5-point home favorite, but it could not get by Rice last Saturday in a 25-24 loss as a 10-point favorite at home. It will try and pick-up the pieces this week in the first conference game of the season for both teams..
The Horned Frogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. The total has gone OVER in 12 of their last 17 games overall. The Jayhawks are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 conference games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games at home. This game renews a rivalry that has been inactive since 1997.
North Texas Mean Green vs. No. 15 Kansas State Wildcats (–28)
North Texas came away with a moral victory against LSU in its season opener by covering a 44-point spread in a 41-14 loss to the Tigers on the road. It is coming off a 34-7 win over Texas Southern last Saturday, but could not cover this time as a 32-point home favorite.
Kansas State crushed the Missouri State Bears in its season opener as a 34-point home favorite, but really opened some eyes by dismantling Miami (FLA) 52-13 as a 7.4-point favorite at home in Week 2. The total easily went OVER the 58-point line.
The Mean Green are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against the Big 12 and 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in six of their last seven games against this conference. The Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last nine games overall. These two met in 2010 with Kansas State squeaking-out a 49-41 victory as a 14-point road favorite.
No.14 Texas Longhorns (-10.5) vs. Mississippi Rebels
Texas could not cover a 31-point spread at home against Wyoming in its season opener, but thumped New Mexico 45-0 last Saturday as a 39.5-point favorite at home. The total stayed UNDER in both of these games and has now stayed UNDER in six of its last seven games.
Mississippi continues to be one of the bottom feeders in the SEC but is off to a 2-0 start both SU and ATS in non-conference play. This past Saturday, the Rebels beat UTEP 28-10 as 8.5-point home favorites after covering a 20.5-point spread at home in a 49-27 win over Central Arkansas on opening day. This snapped a seven-game losing streak to close-out 2011.
The Longhorns are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win, but 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games against the SEC. The Rebels are 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games in the month of September. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 games following an ATS win. This will be the first meeting ever between the two schools.
DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.
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