September 18, 2012

Big 12 Football-Week 4 Handicapping Guide

Big 12 Football-Week 4 Handicapping Guide

It has been a strong start for the Big 12 with half of the 10 teams in the conference ranked in the AP’s latest Top-25 poll. Oklahoma leads the way at No.6 followed by newcomer West Virginia at No.8. Texas is ranked 12th with Kansas State next at No.15. Another team making its debut in the Big 12 is TCU at No.17. The following is a look at a couple of the top matchups this week in the Big 12 along with the opening spreads as provided by BetDSI.

Virginia Cavaliers vs. TCU Horned Frogs (-17.5)

Virginia won its first two games this season including a 17-16 victory over Penn State as a 10-point home favorite, but comes into this matchup a bit beat up from last Saturday’s 56-20 loss to Georgia Tech as a 10-point road underdog. The Cavaliers do have the No.33rd passing offense in the nation behind quarterback Michael Rocco, who has thrown for 712 yards in his first three games.

TCU has only played twice this season and has outscored its opponents 76-6 while rolling-up well over 1000 yards of total offense. It has been a balanced effort with an average of 305.5 yards in the air and 203.5 yards a game on the ground.

The Cavaliers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games and 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games in the month of September. TCU is 23-8 ATS in its last 31 games following an ATS loss. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of Virginia’s last 13 games overall, but it has gone OVER in seven of the Horned Frogs last nine games at home.

Maryland Terrapins vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (-28)

Maryland started the season with fairly routine victories over William & Mary and Temple, but could not get by Connecticut this past Saturday in a 24-21 loss as a 2.5-point home underdog. The Terrapins’ passing offense has been one of the worst in the country with an average of just 119 yards a game.

On the flip side, quarterback Geno Smith leads one of the most prolific passing attacks in the nation with an average of 386 yards a game. Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey have combined for 43 receptions for 443 yards and seven touchdowns in the Mountaineers first two games.

The favorite in this series is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games. Maryland is 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings and 2-5 ATS in its last seven trips to Morgantown.

Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners (-13.5)

Kansas State is 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS) by virtue of relatively easy victories over Missouri State, Miami (FLA) and North Texas. The Wildcats are ranked 13th in the nation in scoring with 46 points a game while ranking 20th in points allowed; giving-up as average of 14.3 a game. John Hubert leads the team in rushing with 296 yards but Collin Klein is a close second with 210 yards on the ground.

Oklahoma’s quest for a return to the BCS title game got off to a solid 2-0 SU (1-1 ATS) start with double-digit victories over UTEP and Florida A&M. This will be the first real test for Bob Stoop’s bunch after a 10-3 SU campaign in 2011 which includes a less than stellar 6-3 record in conference play.

The road team in this matchup is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the total has gone OVER in the last four. The Sooners have won eight of the last nine games SU but the series is tied at 4-4-1 ATS over the same stretch of games.

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Dave Schwab

DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.

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