December 28, 2013

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: Preview and Pick

The New England Patriots are going back to the playoffs after a resounding win against the Baltimore Ravens. They have won the AFC East for the tenth time in eleven seasons and will end the season out at home against the Buffalo Bills. The Bills are still playing strong after beating the Miami Dolphins and will not be an easy foe in week 17 for the New England Patriots.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Preview

The NFL odds for this game opened up with the Patriots listed as (-7.5) point favorites. This is no surprise as the Patriots are the better team and the have owned Buffalo of late. After the crushing win against the Ravens, the betting public has hammered the home team as over 90 percent of the early wagering is on the Pats. This has caused the point spread to inflate to all new levels as the betting line can now be found at (-9.5) at several of the top rated online sportsbooks.

The Patriots are playing well but have injury concerns. The Patriots have been ravaged by injuries, and running back Shane Vereen (groin) and safety Devin McCourty (head/likely concussion) didn’t finish the game. Add starting left tackle Nate Solder (concussion), dime linebacker Dane Fletcher (groin), and rookie receivers Josh Boyce (ankle) and Kenbrell Thompkins (hip) — all of whom missed Sunday’s game — and the list just keeps on growing.

The latest football betting trends for this game reveal that the Patriots have dominated the Bills in recent years. The total has gone over in 4 of New England’s last 5 games at home and the total has gone over in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games when playing New England. New England is 5-0 straight up in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo and Buffalo is 8-14-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 23 games when playing New England. New England is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo, but New England is 19-1 straight up in its last 20 games when playing Buffalo. Buffalo is 2-9 straight up and 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road. New England is 4-1 straight up in its last 5 games overall and will have something to play for this week.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Pick

With plenty of time before kickoff we will wait for more information to come in before we select a side on this contest. Make sure to check the forum during the week and on the day of the game to get the latest and most up to date information on the game.

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Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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