The Miami Heat have one of the best basketball trios in the world anchored by the best basketball player on the planet, LeBron James. They are also defending champions of the NBA and are one of the favorites according to the odds makers to win yet another title. Yet whenever they take to the floor there is a legion of doubters that believe they will stumble in the playoffs and fail to win a championship. In fact even a few people believed that the Charlotte Bobcats would pull off the improbable upset.
After losing game one, the Bobcats look as though they will be just another easy victim for the Heat. To make matters worse the Cats best player Al Jefferson is banged up heading into game two of this series. Jefferson, who averaged 21.8 points and 10.8 rebounds this season, suffered a strained plantar fascia in his foot during the first quarter and had to receive two painkilling injections during the game to keep playing. Jefferson left AmericanAirlines Arena in a walking boot and was still in it on Monday. He says he will play in Game 2 on Wednesday, but he won’t be able to practice at all. This is going to have an impact in this series.
Another impact is that the Heat is healthy. Miami’s Dwyane Wade looked fully healthy in Game 1, scoring 23 points on 10-for-16 shooting from the field. The Heat would love to finish off a sweep of the Bobcats to get Wade as much rest as possible before a potential second-round war with Brooklyn. This sets up for a quick kill for Miami.
Despite all of the problems for the visitor in this series, the latest basketball betting trends indicate that the Heat could have problems covering the big number in this game. The Heat are 13-28-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 43 games following a win against the number, 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 Wednesday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. The downside for the Bobcats is that although they have some impressive betting trends, those numbers fall short against the Heat. The Bobcats are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami and 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings overall.
Don’t be afraid to drop the big number in this game. The Heat are focused and although the Bobcats are a feisty bunch, they have no shot of winning this game or making this series close.
NBA Playoffs Picks: Miami Heat -10.5
Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.