Hey All – Its the “retired bookie” coming at ya. BTB and I go way back. He actually started his gambling thru me so I had a bunch of years of profitability from him until he learned a thing or two. Now we remain good friends and he has asked me to give a couple picks daily so I will be doing it right here in the blog for now. My write-ups will be thoughts, analytics for some content but the picks go much deeper and I cant write all that much. So excuse the grammar problems and any of that nonsense and lets just win… I will re-post this opening paragraph along with my record each day!
Wednesday, December 29 2010
@6:00 Illinois (6-6) vs Baylor (7-5)
Both teams the Illinois Fighting Illini and the Baylor Bears are coming in to this Texas Bowl match-up playing inconsistently especially on the defensive end of the ball. The Fighting Illini have lost 3 of their last 4 contest. In those particular 3 defeats, the Illinois defense gave up 67 points at Michigan on 11/06, then on November 13th 38 while hosting Minnesota and 25 at Fresno State in their last loss on December 3rd. Offensively Illinois has improved their production from a seasonal average of 32.1 to 35 points in their last 3 encounters and from 386.9 total yards to 456.
The Baylor Bears’ defense have been hellish in their last 3 games. They surrendered an average of 50 points, 538.7 total yards. Need I say more?
Pick: Over 62
@9:15 Arizona (7-5) vs No. 14 Oklahoma State (10-2)
Winners of their last 8 out of 10, the Oklahoma State Cowboys are riding high offensively and defensively after finishing second to Oklahoma in the South Division of the Big 12 Conference. Meanwhile, the Arizona Wildcats finished 5th in the Pac-10 Conference and only 4 and 5 within the conference.
The Cowboys of Oklahoma State are Nationally ranked 3rd in scoring 44.9 points a game and 2nd in total yards accumulating 540.5. Oklahoma State has a balanced attack, but it should be their rushing attack that will benefit from an Arizona rushing defense that allowed 205 rushing yards to USC and 398 to Oregon.
Arizona’s offense will be their only substantial hope to stay in shouting distance with the Cowboys. The Wildcats’ passing game ranked 9th in the country will take full advantage of the Cowboys’ passing defense which is 115th in the United States.
The bottom line should be Oklahoma State’s ground game “should” take time away from the Arizona’s Ariel show and thus cover the spread.
Pick: Oklahoma State -4.5