Bookies Picks 12/30/10
Hey All – Its the “retired bookie” coming at ya. BTB and I go way back. He actually started his gambling thru me so I had a bunch of years of profitability from him until he learned a thing or two. Now we remain good friends and he has asked me to give a couple picks daily so I will be doing it right here in the blog for now. My write-ups will be thoughts, analytics for some content but the picks go much deeper and I cant write all that much. So excuse the grammar problems and any of that nonsense and lets just win… I will re-post this opening paragraph along with my record each day!
Thursday, December 30 2010
@6:30 North Carolina (7-5) vs Tennessee (6-6)
After starting the season at a shameful 2 and 6, the Tennessee Volunteers are coming in to this Music City Bowl match-up having won their last 4 consecutive games to become eligible for this bowl. During this winning streak, the Volunteers have come together in all phases of their game especially on the defensive end. In those 4 victories, the Tennessee defense has only surrendered an average of 13 points per contest as compare to their seasonal average of 24.7 points. Offensively Tennessee has increased their point production in the last 4 match-ups to 33.3 from their average of 27.
North Carolina started off their season at a promising 4 and 2 mark, since then the Tar Heels finished out the season playing only .500 ball and losing 2 of their last 3. Back on October 30th, they only beat William and Mary by 4 at home and were 20 point favorites.
Pick: Tennessee +1
@10:00 Washington (6-6) vs No. 18 Nebraska (10-3)
The Nebraska Cornhuskers finished 2nd in the North Division in the Big 12 Conference, but beating the likes of the Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Missouri Tigers and both match-ups covering the spread. The Cornhuskers sports the 8th Nationally ranked rushing attack accumulating 261.5 yards and they just gashed Washington’s run defense’s run defense for a ridiculous 385 yards and 535 total yards in their first meeting October 18th.
In that first meeting, the Washington Huskies discovered that they were able to move the chains by taking full advantage of Nebraska’s 52nd rushing defense and rolled up 175 rushing yards. Now, if Washington can stick with their ground game, the “over” seems to be safest play here.
Pick: Over 52
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