May 6, 2013

Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick 5/6/13

Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds

Date/Time: May 6th, 7:10 PM ET

Television: ESPN

MLB Betting Odds from Bookmaker

Probable Starters: Maholm (Atlanta) vs. Arroyo (Cincinnati)

Moneyline: Reds -125

Total: 7.5

The Cincinnati Reds and the Atlanta Braves begin a three-game set with one another on Monday night on ESPN, and MLB betting fans will love to see this one get underway starting at 7:10 p.m. ET at the Great American Ballpark.

The Braves just finished up a rather blah home stand in which they won just three out of six games against NL East rivals. The team is now just 3-7 in its last 10 after starting off the campaign at 15-5. The good news is that the team is starting to at least think about getting healthy. C Brian McCann has had injuries to his shoulder and wrist over the course of the last few weeks, and he is expecting to get back in the lineup as early as tonight. OF Jason Heyward should be back in the fold sooner than later as well, though with appendectomies, it’s tough to tell exactly when a player is going to be back in solid form. This version of the Atlanta lineup though, might be without 3B Juan Francisco, who has an ankle injury that kept him out of Friday’s game against the New York Mets. LHP Paul Maholm will be working on his 3.08 ERA tonight for the Braves. He is only 3-3 to show for his work, but the splits for this southpaw suggest that perhaps he should be in a lot better shape. It would really help if the team could average more than 3.5 runs per game of support for him, though.

2B Brandon Phillips came out of Sunday’s game with vision problems, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see Manager Dusty Baker give him the day off. Cincinnati just finished a sweep against the Chicago Cubs, and it won five of the last seven games that it played on its 10-game road trip after starting with three losses in Washington DC. The Reds are relying on RHP Bronson Arroyo on Monday night in this nationally televised game. Arroyo is who he is. He’s right around a .500 pitcher (2-3), and he probably deserves a little bit better than that. The righty has a very average 3.95 ERA, but he throws strikes, and as a result, he only has a 1.07 WHIP. That being said, Arroyo wishes that he had Maholm’s run support. This righty is only getting 2.5 runs per game of help, and it’s amazing that he has managed to maintain his record as a result.

With so many players out of the regular lineup on both sides, we’re not all that sure what’s going to be left to work with. The bottom line with Arroyo and Maholm is that they throw strikes, and we have confidence that both of these bullpens can hold leads that they are given. This one just screams 4-2 tonight one way or the other, and that’s exactly what we think is going to happen.

Atlanta Braves @ Cincinnati Reds Pick: Under 7.5

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Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

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