Free NFL Pick: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, Dec. 1, 4:25 p.m. (ET)
NFL Betting Odds: VietBet
Pointspread: Denver -5.5
Total Line: 48.5
Denver has a golden opportunity to take control of the AFC West title race with a win on Sunday after already beating the Chiefs 27-17 in Week 11 as a 7.5-point home favorite, but it is going to have to quickly get over last Sunday’s collapse in New England to get it done. The Broncos blew a 24 point lead against the Patriots to lose the game 34-31 in overtime as two-point road favorites. They are now 9-2 straight-up on the year and 6-5 against the spread. The total went OVER in their first eight games but it has stayed UNDER in two of their last three outings.
The pressure will be on Peyton Manning to return to the form that lit up the league during the first half of the season. He has still thrown for 3,722 yards and 36 touchdowns while completing 68.5 percent of his throws, but in the first game against Kansas City Manning only completed 60 percent of 40 attempts and he went 19-for 36 for just 150 yards last Sunday against the Patriots. Denver is also going to have to get a better effort from a defense that is ranked 26th in the league in yards allowed (378.0) and 27th in points allowed (26.3).
The bloom is off the rose in Kansas City as well after following up the loss to Denver with a 41-38 loss to San Diego last Sunday as a 3.5-point road favorite. The Chiefs now match the Broncos at 9-2 SU and 6-5 ATS with the total has staying UNDER in three of their last five games. Prior to giving up 41 points to the Chargers and 27 points to Denver, the Chiefs’ defense did not allow more than 17 points in any of their first nine games.
Not only is Kansas City going to need its defense to return to form, it is going to need another big effort from Alex Smith. He completed 68.4 percent of his 39 throws against San Diego for 294 yards and three touchdowns. If he can generated a few big plays against the Broncos, then head coach Andy Reid should be able to turn to a running game that is averaging 120.8 yards a game to control the clock.
Free NFL Pick
The winner of this game will not only have a leg up in the division, but the inside track to the No. 1 seed in the AFC. We know that Denver is still a really good team that got tripped up last week with some bad mistakes and costly turnovers. Stick with the proven entity in this matchup as the Chiefs appear to be running out of steam at the worst possible time of the year.
Denver 31 Kansas City 20
Latest posts by Dave Schwab (see all)
- NBA Pick: New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Nets - December 5, 2013
- Detroit Pistons vs. Miami Heat Free NBA Pick - December 3, 2013
- Free NFL Pick: New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks - December 2, 2013
- Free NFL Pick: New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins - December 1, 2013
- Free NFL Pick: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs - December 1, 2013