Free NBA Pick: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat
Tuesday, Nov. 12, 7:30 p.m. (ET)
Television: NBA League Pass
NBA Betting Odds: VietBet
Pointspread: Miami -12.5
Total Line: 198
The Bucks come into this contest at 2-3 straight-up on the year with a 3-2 record against the spread. This past Saturday they lost to Dallas 91-83 as three-point home underdogs with the total staying UNDER the 206.5-point line. The total has now stayed UNDER in three of their first five games.
The good news for Milwaukee in the early going of a new season has been the defensive effort this team has shown through its first five games. The Bucks are ranked sixth in the NBA in points allowed; giving-up an average of 96 points a game. The problem has been on the other end of the court with an offensive effort that is only generating 94 points a game, which is ranked 24th in the league. OJ Mayo remains the team’s leading scorer with 18.6 points a game with Gary Neal is second with 13.6 points. The team as a whole is shooting 43.8 percent from the field.
The defending champs have hit a few early bumps out of the gate on their way to very average 4-3 SU start. They have been a tough team to wager on so far with a 2-5 record ATS. The Heat are coming off a tight 111-110 loss to Boston last Saturday in a game they were favored to win by 13 points at home. The total went well OVER the 193.5-point closing line and it has now gone OVER in five of their first seven games.
Miami comes into this matchup as a polar opposite to its opponent. Scoring has not been an issue with an average of 105.1 points a game, which is the fifth-highest total in the league. Defensively, this has been one of the most porous teams in the NBA so far; allowing an average of 100.9 points to its opponents. LeBron James once again leads the Heat in scoring with 24.2 points to go along with 5.9 rebound and a team-high 8.0 assists a game. Miami has shot the ball well and is hitting 51.6 percent of its shots from the floor and 43.3 percent from three-point range.
Free NBA Pick
Milwaukee’s problems revolve around a lack of talented depth in its roster and the ability to consistently score points, while the Heat still have all the talent in the world, but appear to lack the motivation to play their best on a consistent basis. Look for a much better effort tonight at home as Miami cruises to a win that covers the 12.5 points.
Miami 110 Milwaukee 94
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