December 27, 2012

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Pick: TCU vs. Michigan State

College Football Bowl Picks

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Preview


TCU Horned Frogs
vs.
Michigan State Spartans

Date/Time: Saturday, December 29, 10:15 pm EST

Television: ESPN

College Football Odds from BetOnline

Point Spread: TCU -2.5

Total: 41

BetOnline

 

Football Betting Game Trends

TCU Horned Frogs

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU’s last 5 games
  • TCU is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • TCU is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
  • TCU is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Michigan State Spartans

  • Michigan State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State’s last 6 games
  • Michigan State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Michigan State is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games

 

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Pick – December 29th

A lot of this year’s bowl games are expected to be high scoring affairs, but TCU and Michigan are both built around their defense. Michigan State was expected to contend for a Big Ten title, but the Spartans finished just 6-6 in the regular season. TCU went 7-5 after joining the Big 12 in the offseason. Let’s take a look at this matchup.

Game Overview:

TCU had to adapt to life without quarterback Casey Pachall, and they did a pretty good job of that this season. Freshman Trevone Boykin did an impressive job stepping in as the starting quarterback. Boykin is a mobile guy who also has a strong arm. Boykin seems to be gaining confidence as the season moves along. B.J. Catalon and Waymon James splits the carries in the backfield, and both had a nice season. James is hurt now though, so Catalon should see most of the action in this game. Josh Boyce is one of the best play makers in the Big 12. He has 60 catches and seven touchdowns on the year.

The Horned Frogs defense was the strength of the team this year. TCU ranked 18th in the nation in total defense this year. The front seven was great against the run. Opponents only ran for 104 yards per game against TCU. Jason Verrett leads the team with six interceptions. The Horned Frogs are very aggressive on the defensive end, which helps them force a lot of turnovers.

Michigan State came into the season with high expectations, but their offense really let them down in 2012. Andrew Maxwell completed less than 53% of his passes, and opposing defenses really stacked the box and slowed down the Spartans running game. Le’Veon Bell looks like a future NFL back, but he struggled to find running room against top opponents this year. Bell was a workhorse for this team, as he carried 350 times for 1,648 yards. Michigan State just couldn’t get the ball in the end zone this year. The Spartans averaged a measly 20.2 points per game.

The Spartans defense did their job this year. Michigan State finished the regular season ranked fourth in the country in total defense. This is one of the best units in the country. They are strong in the front seven as well as in the secondary. This is a defense that ranks in the top ten in rushing defense, pass defense, total defense, and points allowed per game. Clearly, it isn’t this group’s fault that Michigan State had a disappointing year.

Free Pick: Michigan State +2.5

I’ll take the team with the better defense getting points in this one. Michigan State is better than they have shown much of the season, and TCU does still have a true freshman under center.

Michigan State 21 TCU 17

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Kyle Hunter

is full-timesports writer and sports handicapper. You simply won’t find someone who loves sports more than Kyle. Kyle considers college football and college basketball his two favorite sports. Kyle has earned many accolades for his highly successful handicapping, and he writes full-time for many top sports websites. Keep an eye out for high quality free sports analysis from Kyle!

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