BYU Cougars vs. Utah State Aggies Preview and Picks
(1-3, 1-3 ATS)
Utah State Aggies
(1-3, 1-3 ATS)
Beehive State action will take place on Friday night, as the Utah State Aggies look to end two decades of frustration and losing to the BYU Cougars in NCAA football betting action.
The Cougars have flat out dominated this series, being favored by at least 14.5 points in each of the L/10 years prior to this meeting, but that just isn’t the case this year thanks to the fact that their offense is just brutal. BYU is one of two teams in the entire country that has yet to play an ‘over’ game all season long, and the play of QB Jake Heaps is largely to thank. Heaps, a true freshman, is only completing 51.4 percent of his passes for 489 yards and one TD against one pick. His average yards per attempt of 4.66 is woeful, especially in an offense that usually relies so much on the quarterback position. If not for the play of RB JJ Di Luigi, who leads the team in total TDs (3), rushing yards (332), and receiving yards (200), who knows where the Cougs would be? BYU is averaging just 15.0 points per game, the fourth worst mark in the country. The defense has been a big problem as well, as opponents are using their ground game to rumble for a ton of yards, which is eating a lot of clock. BYU is allowing 263.5 yards per game to enemy rushing attacks.
This was supposed to be the year that the Aggies challenged in the top heavy WAC, and that still might be the case, but another win out of conference play is going to desperately help. Utah State has played relatively well at times and clearly has talent, as demonstrated by a 31-24 loss in Norman to start the season. QB Diondre Borel is turning the ball over too much and isn’t completing a high enough percentage of his passes, but at least he is figuring out how to put some points on the board. The Aggies’ signal caller has 832 passing yards and six total scores (four passing) against four INTs. USU, which has played a nightmarish schedule to start, is averaging a respectable 379.8 total yards per game and 23.2 points per game. Defensively, it has allowed at least 31 points to all three of its FBS foes, though games against Oklahoma, Fresno State, and San Diego State certainly isn’t fun to say the least, as all three teams are Top 25 quality. As a result, the Aggies are allowing 32.5 points per game on the season, good enough for just 102nd in the land.
Is the wrong team favored in this game? The NCAA football trends certainly make us wonder if that’s the case. BYU is only 1-8 ATS in its L/9 in October and is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 against WAC foes. The Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against the MWC, with one of the two losses coming last week against the Aztecs. USU is getting more and more competitive in this series, and this might be the year that the balance of power in the Beehive State at least starts to change.
Selection: Utah State Aggies +5
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