October 5, 2012

St Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Pick

MLB Picks

Preview


St. Louis Cardinals
vs.
Atlanta Braves

Starting Pitchers: Lohse (Cardinals) vs. Medlen (Braves)

Date/Time: October 5th, 5:07 P.M. EST

Television: TBS

MLB Odds from Bookmaker

Moneyline: Cardinals +150 Braves -160

Total: 6.5 (Over -120)

 

MLB Betting Game Trends

St. Louis Cardinals

  • St. Louis is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis’s last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis’s last 8 games on the road
  • St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 5 games when playing Atlanta

Atlanta Braves

  • Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Atlanta’s last 25 games at home
  • Atlanta is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing St. Louis

 

Game Overview

MLB betting fans will get a chance to sink their teeth into the first ever Wild Card playoff game in baseball history, as the Atlanta Braves play a one game do or die against the St. Louis Cardinals at Turner Field on Friday afternoon.

The Cardinals are the defending World Series champions, and they are going to be under the gun in this one for sure. The good news is that they are going to be throwing a man in Kyle Lohse that went 16-3 with a 2.86 ERA this year. In his 33 starts, Lohse led the Cards to a 21-12 record. The 34-year old came up with arguably the best year of his entire career when it was needed the most. He threw a career high 211 innings, posted his best ERA ever, had his lowest WHIP ever (1.09), his lowest batting average against ever (.239), and had his most strikeouts ever (143). Simply put, this was a great year for Lohse, but he has one more task that he has to undertake if the Redbirds are going to be playing in the main part of the postseason. If there is some bad news though, it is that the Braves have really lit Lohse up over the years. In his last start against Atlanta earlier this year, Lohse allowed five runs and was run after just five frames. He has a 4.97 career ERA against the Braves as well.

The Braves had their season spoiled by the Cardinals last year, and now is the time to exact some of that revenge that they were planning. It could be the last game in the career of 3B Chipper Jones, and a loss would certainly be his last home game at Turner Field ever. The story though, is the fact that Kris Medlen is going to get the ball from Manager Fredi Gonzalez. It’s a risky use of a young pitcher that has never pitched in a crucial game like this one before. How could we argue, though? Medlen has started 12 games this year and led the Braves to a spotless 12-0 record! He finished the year with 50 appearances, 12 of which came as a starter, and he had 138.0 innings of work. The argument could be made that Medlen should win the Cy Young Award this year, though we know that he won’t do it. Batters hit .208 against him, and he had a 1.57 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. 120 batters struck out against Medlen this year, and just 23 were issued free passes.

Prediction

Still, there is something about the Cardinals that just feels right. We aren’t so sure how Manager Mike Matheny was able to keep this team together without the services of Albert Pujols for the whole year or Chris Carpenter for the majority of it. Though we think that Medlen is great, we legitimately could see this being the first game that he ever loses as a starter. St. Louis 4 – Atlanta 2

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Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

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