St. Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox Game 1 Pick 10/23/13
Date/Time: October 23rd, 8:07 PM ET
MLB Betting Odds from Topbet Sportsbook
Probable Starters: Wainwright (St. Louis) vs. Lester (Boston)
Moneyline: Boston -118
Baseball betting fans have had to wait a few days, but they are going to be getting back in the saddle on Wednesday night in Beantown for the start of what should be an epic World Series between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Boston Red Sox.
The Cardinals really have a bit of an advantage in this game, knowing that they didn’t have to use RHP Adam Wainwright in Game 7 of the NLCS against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Cards aced every test that came their way in the postseason, including finding a way to beat LHP Francisco Liriano, RHP Zack Greinke, and LHP Clayton Kershaw when they had to. Though this team is barely hitting at the Mendoza Line as a team for the playoffs, you’ll notice that a lot of those wins came against lefties. In fact, the only loss that this team has had since September 14th against a left-handed pitcher came in Game 3 of the NLCS against rookie LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu. Wainwright has put together seven quality starts in his last eight outings, and he has only allowed four runs in 23 innings of work thus far here in the playoffs. He has all sorts of experience pitching in the biggest games of the year, both as a starter and as a relief pitcher, and there is no man that we would rather have in this spot than this one.
The Red Sox are really just finding ways to get the big hits at the big time. There’s no such thing as a lead that can’t be made up, especially with all of the big time bats up and down this lineup and all of the speed that is present on the bases if the leadoff hitters can get on. We don’t really think that the extra time off is going to do much for LHP Jon Lester, knowing that he is pitching on five days of rest instead of the usual four, something that happened quite a bit in the regular season. Lester’s pitch count is starting to bother us. This is a man that finished up the regular season by throwing at least 110 pitches in five out of six games. Since the playoffs have started though, that pitch count has been going in the wrong direction. Lester went from 114 pitches in Game 1 against the Tampa Bay Rays to 109 and 98 in the two starts against the Detroit Tigers. Lester is going to have to go at least 110 in this one we would think, knowing that he has averaged over 17 pitches per inning in five of his last six. That said, in all but one of those six games, Lester did hold foes to two runs or fewer.
Still, making Wainwright a dog in this game just doesn’t seem right to do. Boston, for all that it has done well here in the postseason, still doesn’t have the starting pitching to make us think that it can stick with the best of the best. St. Louis doesn’t have many aces, but it does have this one, and that’s going to be good enough to steal home field advantage right away from the Bo Sox.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Boston Red Sox Pick: St. Louis Cardinals +111