After a week off, the NASCAR circuit gets back to action at famed Indianapolis Motor Speedway for the Crown Royal presents the Curtiss Shaver 400 at the Brickyard. This 2.5-mile track is oval-shaped with 9° turns and perfectly flat straightaways that each measure 3,330 feet (0.63 miles). Paul Menard won last year’s Brickyard race, but Jimmie Johnson is Sunday’s favorite having won three of the previous five starts at Indy.

Drivers to Watch

Jeff Gordon (10/1) – It may be a bit chalky, but Gordon is the choice if you’re only betting one driver. Not only has he won four times at the Brickyard, but he has six other top-5 finishes at this track, including last year’s runner-up. With an average finish of 9.1, he’s the best bet to wind up at the front of the pack. And placing in the top-6 in four of his past five races this season, he’s entering this race on a hot streak.

Kevin Harvick (15/1) – Although he hasn’t won yet this season, Harvick has raced well enough to sit in sixth place in the points standings for each of the past six weeks. And considering his success at both the Brickyard (10.0 average finish) and superspeedways in general (4 wins, 15 top-5’s in career), the odds are quite favorable for the No. 29 car.

Paul Menard (60/1) – He improved greatly in each of his Brickyard races, placing 41st in 2008, 29th in 2009, 14th in 2010 and winning the race last year despite starting in the No. 15 position. Menard continues to hover near the top 12 in the points standings, placing no worse than 15th all year. He has finished outside the top-20 just once in his past 16 starts.

Jimmie Johnson (6/1) – If he wasn’t on such a roll this season (top-7 finishes in 10 of the past 13 races), he may not be the favorite in this race. Although Johnson has won three times in his past six starts at Indy, he’s finished better than 18th only one other time at this track (9th in 2002), posting finishes of 18th, 19th, 22nd, 36th, 38th and 39th in his other Brickyard races.

Jamie McMurray (60/1) – Another strong longshot opportunity presents itself with McMurray, who has top-7 finishes in five of his nine career starts at this track. This includes a victory in 2010 and a strong fourth-place showing last year.

Odds to win the Curtiss Shaver 400 – Indianapolis Motor Speedway – Sunday, July 29, 2012 _odds as of 7/27/12

Jimmie Johnson 6/1

Tony Stewart 8/1

Jeff Gordon 10/1

Matt Kenseth 10/1

Greg Biffle 10/1

Denny Hamlin 10/1

Kyle Busch 12/1

Kasey Kahne 12/1

Carl Edwards 12/1

Dale Earnhardt Jr 12/1

Brad Keselowski 15/1

Mark Martin 15/1

Kevin Harvick 15/1

Martin Truex Jr 20/1

Clint Bowyer 25/1

Joey Logano 30/1

Ryan Newman 30/1

Juan Pablo Montoya 30/1

Paul Menard 60/1

Jamie McMurray 60/1

Kurt Busch 75/1

Sam Hornish Jr 100/1

Jeff Burton 100/1

Marcos Ambrose 100/1

Trevor Bayne 200/1

Aric Almirola 200/1

Regan Smith 300/1

Bobby Labonte 300/1

David Ragan 300/1

Field (Any Other Driver) 60/1

2012 Curtiss Shaver 400 Information

Race Date: Sunday, July 29

Location: Indianapolis Motor Speedway, Indianapolis, IN

Pre-Race: 12:30PM ET

Green Flag: 1:20PM ET

TV Coverage: ESPN

Track Type: Speedway (160 laps)

Drivers to Watch

Denny Hamlin (15/1) – He is second in laps led in the past five years at this track (behind only Kyle Busch), but that hasn’t equated to finishing success. In 13 career Daytona races, Hamlin has tallied just two top-12’s. However, one of those was finishing fourth at this year’s Daytona 500. That was the first of eight top-5’s he’s racked up in the 2012 season.

Tony Stewart (12/1) – He hasn’t fared too well in his past five races at Daytona, finishing no better than 11th, but Smoke has had plenty of success on this track with seven top-5’s and three victories, which includes his win in 2009. And although he’s been wildly inconsistent this season, he does have five top-3’s in his past nine starts.

Jimmie Johnson (12/1) – Daytona has been a nightmare for the No. 48 car recently, with two accidents and a rear axle issue in his past five starts at this track. But Johnson is always dangerous on a superspeedway, with six wins and 14 top-5’s at the giant venues. This includes one victory and six top-5’s at Daytona. And this season, Johnson continues to run near the front of the pack with an average finish of 4.7 in his past seven races (two wins, 4th, 5th, 5th, 6th and 11th).

Brad Keselowski (12/1) – Not only did he earn his third victory of the 2012 season last Saturday, but Keselowski already has a pair of superspeedway wins in his young career. He’s been pretty consistent lately too, with top-12 finishes in eight of his past 10 races.

Joey Logano (30/1) – He’s the best longshot for Saturday’s race, as he finished ninth in the Daytona 500 and third in last year’s Coke Zero 400. He also has four top-10’s in his past seven races in 2012, including his victory at Pocono. And although Logano is looking for his first-ever win at a superspeedway, his three top-5’s and seven top-10’s at the long tracks is pretty strong for such a young driver.

CokeZero 400 Odds – As of 7/6/12 for Updated Odds Visit Sportsbook.ag
AJ Allmendinger +3000
Aric Almirola +6000
Bobby Labonte +10000
Brad Keselowski +1200
Carl Edwards +1200
Casey Mears +10000
Clint Bowyer  +1800
Dale Earnhardt Jr +1200
Dave Blaney +10000
David Gilliland +10000
David Ragan +10000
Denny Hamlin +1500
Field (Any Other Driver) +4000
Greg Biffle +1200
Jamie McMurray +2500
Jeff Burton +2500
Jeff Gordon +1200
Jimmie Johnson +1200
Joey Logano +3000
Juan Montoya +4000
Kasey Kahne +1500
Kevin Harvick +1200
Kurt Busch +2500
Kyle Busch +1200
Landon Cassill +10000
Marcos Ambrose +3000
Martin Truex Jr +2500
Matt Kenseth +1000
Michael Waltrip +4000
Paul Menard +4000
Regan Smith +8000
Ryan Newman +3000
Tony Stewart +1200
Trevor Bayne

Drivers to Watch

Carl Edwards (10/1) – Edwards continues to disappoint this season, finishing no better that fifth place, which came way back in the fifth race of the season. However, he still has cranked out eight top-10’s and three 11th-place finishes in the 16 races of 2012. Edwards is always in the running at “cookie-cutter” tracks, posting top-5’s in his past eight starts on these similar tracks, including a fifth-place finish at Kentucky last year.

Jimmie Johnson (5/1) – The race favorite has dominated this type of track in his career, including top-3 finishes in Las Vegas, Texas and Kansas. He also came in third in Kentucky’s inaugural race last year. And with last week’s top-5 finish at Sonoma, Johnson is on an impressive six-start run, placing 1st, 11th, 1st, 4th, 5th and 5th. That gives him top-6 finishes in eight of his past 10 starts.

Martin Truex Jr. (25/1) – If you’re looking for a longshot, take a flier on Truex Jr. who has finished no worse than 17th in his four “cookie-cutter” races this season. This includes top-10 finishes at both Texas and Kansas. Although he’s at his lowest place in the points standings (ninth) since the first week of the season, expect Truex Jr. to race near the front of the pack all night.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. (12/1) – Coming off his worst finish of the year in Sonoma (23rd), Earnhardt Jr. lives for these kinds of tracks with five straight top-10’s on “cookie cutters.” And it’s no fluke that he’s sitting third in the points standings with an impressive dozen top-10’s, a half dozen top-5’s, which includes his long-awaited win in Michigan two weeks ago.

Greg Biffle (8/1) – He’s an interesting play this week because Biffle has been inconsistent in his past nine races placing 5th, 18th, 5th, 12th, 4th, 11th, 24th, 4th and 7th. But he’s still second in the points standings, which is why his odds remain on the low side. Biffle has thrived on tracks built like Kentucky, finishing in the top-5 in Las Vegas, Texas (which he won), Kansas and Charlotte.

Drivers to Watch

Jeff Gordon (6/1) – Winning at Sonoma is all about experience, and Gordon certainly has that with five wins, 12 top-5’s and an average finish of 8.7 all-time at this track. Although he hasn’t won this road course since 2006, he continues to run with the front of the pack with finishes of 7th, 3rd, 9th, 5th and 2nd in the past five races here. He’s also coming off his second-best race of the 2012 season, placing sixth at Michigan last weekend.

Kasey Kahne (25/1) – He has been tremendous in qualifying at Sonoma, starting no worse than 8th (including two poles) in his past six starts at this track. And in two of the past three races here, he has capitalized on his envious starting position, winning the race in 2009 and finishing fourth in 2010. Although Kahne has posted poor finishes in his past two races this season (29th and 33rd), don’t forget his streak of seven straight top-10’s that preceded this mini-slump.

Jimmie Johnson (6/1) – After a pedestrian 20.6 average finish in his first five starts on this road course, Johnson has figured out how to navigate Sonoma placing 4th, 1st and 7th in his past three races at this track. And with the roll he has been on recently with top-6 finishes (two wins) in seven of his past nine starts, Johnson is always worthy of a small wager, no matter what the odds.

Matt Kenseth (100/1) – Yes, a road course is a completely different beast than the typical race tracks on the NASCAR circuit, but you have to put down a unit wager on the current points leader receiving an insane 100-to-1 payout. In each of Kenseth’s past 10 races this season, he has finished no worse than 11th, carting an impressive 5.6 average finish. And he has competed better at Sonoma recently with a pair of top-15 finishes (8th in 2008, 14th last year) in his past four starts here.

Kurt Busch (40/1) – The defending champion of this race has been a boom-or-bust candidate at this course in his career with four top-5 finishes and six results outside of the top-20 in his 11 Sonoma starts. He’s in the midst of a dreadful season, currently sitting 27th in the points standings because of just one top-12 finish all year (9th at Auto Club 400).

Drivers to Watch

Denny Hamlin (12/1) – After being a 4-to-1 favorite in last week’s superspeedway at Pocono, Hamlin’s odds are curiously tripled for Sunday’s race in Michigan. Not only has Hamlin won two of the past four races at this track, but he also finished 2nd in 2010 and 3rd in 2009. He’s also in the midst of a stellar run with top-6 finishes in six of his past nine races. This includes a win and two runner-ups.

Ryan Newman (30/1) – Like Hamlin, Newman also has favorable odds considering his rich history at Michigan. In addition to his two wins (2003 and 2004), Newman has four other top-6 finishes. This includes placing fifth and sixth in the two Michigan races last season. He’s been struggling a bit since winning April 1 at Martinsville, but is three straight top-15 finishes shows he should be near the front of the pack on Sunday.

Tony Stewart (10/1) – He has only one win in his career at Michigan, and that occurred way back in 2000. But Stewart is usually very competitive at this track, tallying top-10 finishes in 12 of his past 15 starts here. Although “Smoke” has been wildly inconsistent this season since his last win at Fontana (March 25), Stewart has finished third in three of his past six starts, including last week at Pocono. It’s rare that Stewart receives double-digit odds, so it’s wise to place a small wager whenever you can increase your money tenfold with the defending points champion.

Matt Kenseth (10/1) – He has taken over the top spot in the current points standings as the result of nine straight top-11 finishes. Kenseth still hasn’t won a race since Daytona, but he has enjoyed his time at Michigan with an outstanding 9.5 average finish with 11 top-5’s and two victories in his 25 starts at this track. This includes a runner-up in last year’s Heluva Good! Sour Cream Dips 400.

Joey Logano (50/1) – We told you to drop a one-unit wager on him last week, and if you followed our advice, you would have increased that wager 75 times. Although his odds have dropped considerably for this Sunday, 50-to-1 is still a nice payout for banking on him winning for a second straight time on a track measuring at least two miles around. Logano has been hot recently with top-10 finishes in three of his past four starts, and he’s been solid at Michigan too with a 15.2 average and three top-10’s in his six career starts at this track.

NASCAR’s Sprint Cup circuit speeds another race closer to its Chase for the Cup cut this weekend when it heads back to Pocono Raceway in Pennsylvania for the running of the Good Sam RV Insurance 500 Sunday (1 pm Eastern, ESPN).

Last Sunday Wisconsinite Paul Menard, who went off as a 60/1 shot at BetDSI.eu, held off Jeff Gordon to earn his first career Sprint Cup victory, winning the Brickyard 400 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway.

Gordon, off at 17/2 on BetDSI’s Brickyard 400 betting board, placed second; Regan Smith, at 22/1, took third; Jamie McMurray, at 40/1, finished fourth; and another Wisconsinite, Matt Kenseth at 14/1, came in fifth.

So through the first 20 races of this season, with six to go before the Chase cut is made, Carl Edwards leads the Sprint Cup points standings by 11 points over five-time defending champion Jimmie Johnson; 12 points over Kevin Harvick, 16 points over Kenseth and Kyle Busch; and 18 points over Kurt Busch.

Gordon at -52, Ryan Newman at -64, Tony Stewart at -73 and Dale Earnhardt, Jr. at -76 round out the top 10.

Sitting just outside the top-10 cut line are Denny Hamlin at -95, Clint Bowyer at -108, Greg Biffle at -122 and Menard at -129.

The top 10 make the Chase for the Cup field, as do the two drivers ranked 11th-through-20th with the most wins. As of right now those two would be Hamlin and Menard.

Back in June Gordon won the 5-Hour Energy 500 on the 2.5-mile Tricky Triangle at Pocono, finishing ahead of Kurt Busch, Kyle Busch, Johnson and Harvick. Hamlin led a race-high 76 laps but finished 19th.

Last year Hamlin led a race-high 88 laps and won the Gillette ProGlide 500 at Pocono. Kyle Busch finished second, Stewart third, Harvick fourth and Johnson fifth.

Then last August Biffle led the last 21 laps and won the Pennsylvania 500 at Pocono. Stewart finished second, Edwards third, Harvick fourth and Hamlin fifth. Johnson led a race-high 96 laps but came in tenth.

Hamlin has won four of the last 11 Sprint Cup races held at Pocono.

As of Wednesday morning BetDSI.eu is listing Hamlin and Gordon as 5/1 co-favorites on its Good Sam RV Insurance 500 betting board. Johnson comes next at 11/2, followed by, among others, Edwards and the Busch brothers each at 10/1, Harvick at 12/1, Stewart at 14/1, Kenseth at 15/1, Biffle at 20/1, Newman at 28/1, Bowyer, Dale Jr., Juan Pablo Montoya and Kasey Kahne at 30/1, David Ragan, Brad Keselowski and Jeff Burton at 40/1, Menard at 50/1, McMurray at 75/1 and Smith at 150/1.

Hamlin as a great record at Pocono, but 5/1 isn’t enough to tempt us. So in searching for a bit of a price we’ll go with Edwards at 10/1 and victory-starved Earnhardt at 30/1 to win Sunday’s race.

DRIVER    ODDS
Denny Hamlin    9-2
Jeff Gordon    5-1
Jimmie Johnson    6-1
Kurt Busch    10-1
Kyle Busch    10-1
Carl Edwards    10-1
Kevin Harvick    12-1
Matt Kenseth    14-1
Tony Stewart    14-1
Greg Biffle    20-1
Clint Bowyer    30-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr.    30-1
Kasey Kahne    30-1
Juan Pablo Montoya    30-1
Ryan Newman    30-1
Jeff Burton    40-1
Brad Keselowski    40-1
David Ragan    40-1
Joey Logano    50-1
Mark Martin    50-1
Martin Truex Jr.    50-1
Jamie McMurray    65-1
David Reutimann    65-1
Brian Vickers    65-1
Field (All Others)    100-1

Two weeks ago Ryan Newman led a race-high 119 laps on his way toward winning the Lenox Industrial Tools 301 at New Hampshire. In doing so Newman provided his financial backers at Bodog, at least those who got down early, with a payout of 40/1.

Tony Stewart, who went off as a 5/1 favorite on Bodog’s Lenox 301 betting board, placed second; Denny Hamlin, off at 13/2, showed third; Joey Logano, at 25/1, finished fourth; and Jimmie Johnson, off at 15/2, took fifth.

Carl Edwards finished 13th at New Hampshire, and in the process re-took the lead in the Sprint Cup standings. Edwards is now seven points up on five-time defending champion Johnson, 11 up on Kurt Busch, 15 up on Kevin Harvick, 20 up on Kyle Busch and 26 ahead of Matt Kenseth. Jeff Gordon at -65, Newman at -66, Dale Earnhardt, Jr. at -75 and Hamlin and Stewart at -82 round out the top 11.

Remember, the top 10 in the points standings after race No. 26, five weeks away at Atlanta, make the Chase for the Cup field. As do the two drivers in the next 10 with the most wins. As of right now one of those would be David Ragan.

Last year Jamie McMurray took the lead on a late re-start and led the final 11 laps in winning the Brickyard 400. Harvick took second, Greg Biffle third, Clint Bowyer fourth and Smoke Stewart fifth. Juan Pablo Montoya led a race-high 86 laps but got mixed up in a late crash and finished 32nd.

Over the last five Sprint Cup races at Indy Mark Martin, with three top-ten finishes, owns the best average finish at 7.0. Stewart, with a win and three other top-tens, comes next at 8.0, followed by Edwards at 10.2, Harvick at 11.0 and Gordon at 11.2.

Johnson has won three of the last five races at Indy, but a 39th and a 22nd have hurt his recent average finish.

As of Friday morning Bodog.com is listing Johnson as a 6/1 favorite on its Brickyard 400 betting board. Edwards is the second favorite at 7/1, followed by, among others, Stewart at 15/2, Kyle Busch at 9/1, Montoya at 10/1, Hamlin, Gordon, Harvick and Kurt Busch at 12/1, Kenseth at 13/1, Biffle at 18/1, Bowyer, Dale Jr. and Kasey Kahne at 25/1, Newman at 30/1, Brad Keselowski and Logano at 35/1 and Ragan, David Reutimann, Jeff Burton, Martin and Martin Truex, Jr. at 40/1.

It’s hard not to take Johnson to win Sunday’s race, and 6/1 on a favorite ain’t bad odds. But in looking elsewhere for a better price we’ll take a chance on Harvick at 12/1 and Bowyer at 25/1.

With the series on hiatus until the Brickyard 500 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 31, it is a good time to take a look at some of the top contenders and their current odds to win this year’s title as provided by Bodog.com.

Carl Edwards remains the favorite to wrestle the Sprint Cup title away Johnson at 7/2. He is having a career year so far with 13 top 10 finishes in the 19 races he has run. He actually finished in the top five in 10 of the races and has one point race victory. Edwards also won the All-Star race in May, which does not count in the standings, but added a cool $1 million to his earnings this year. He is back on top in the Sprint Cup standings with 652 points after falling out of first a few weeks back.

The second favorite to win this year’s cup is Kyle Busch at 4/1. He is one of just two drivers with three Sprint Cup victories this year and is currently fifth in the standings with 632 points. Busch has also been very consistent this season with 10 top five finishes and one additional finish in the top 10. His last victory came just two weeks ago in the inaugural Quaker State 400 at Kentucky Speedway. He also has wins at Bristol and Richmond, which will both host one more race this year. If Busch can find a way to keep it together during the Chase, which has been his problem in the past, he has an excellent shot at dethroning Johnson.

Speaking of Johnson, the five-time champ has not been his sharpest this year in pursuit of No. 6, but is still the third favorite at 9/2 to wind up on top at the end of the year. He has only made it to victory lane once this season with a win at Talladega, but still has 12 top 10 finishes including seven in the top five. He is holding down the second spot in the standings with 645 points, just seven behind Edwards. Nobody will want to see Johnson in their rearview mirror once the Chase begins, because that is traditionally when he is at his best. Take the longer odds on the No.48 car now as they will most likely only go down from here.

Things drop off after these three with Matt Kenseth, Denny Hamlin, and Kevin Harvick all listed at 8/1 to win this year’s title. Kenseth is the only driver in this group with a Sprint Cup title on his resume after winning it all in 2003. Last season he finished fourth in the standings and is currently sixth this year with 626 points.

Hamlin and Harvick both came dangerously close to winning last year, as each driver had a shot at taking home the cup heading into the final race of the season at Homestead. Johnson was able to hold them off to win his fifth straight title, but Hamlin was second, just 39 points back and Harvick was third, just 41 points back in the final standings. Of the two, Harvick is having the better season this year with three victories along with seven other top 10 finishes. He is currently in fourth-place in the standings with 627 points.

Hamlin led the Sprint Cup series in wins last season with a total of eight, but he has only taken the checkered flag once this season. He does have seven top 10 finishes, including four in the top five and is 10^th in the standings with 570 points.

Last week polesitter Kyle Busch led 125 laps in winning the Quaker State 400 at Kentucky Speedway. In doing so Busch rewarded his financial backers at Sportsbook.com with a payoff of +800.

David Reutimann, as a +6,000 shot, placed second; Jimmie Johnson, also at +800, showed third; Ryan Newman, at +3,000, finished fourth; and Carl Edwards, as a +700 co-favorite, came in fifth.

With the victory Busch took over the lead in the Sprint Cup points standings. He’s now four points up on second-place Edwards and 10 up on third-place Kevin Harvick. Kurt Busch at -18, Johnson at -19 and Matt Kenseth at -22 round out a very tight top six.

Last June Johnson led for just nine laps but those included the last two as he won the Lenox Tools 301. Tony Stewart, Kurt Busch, Jeff Gordon and Harvick rounded out the top five.

Then last September Clint Bowyer led for 177 laps, taking the lead for the last time when Stewart ran out of gas with two laps to go, on his way to winning the Sylvania 300 at New Hampshire. Denny Hamlin, Jamie McMurray, Dale Earnhardt, Jr. and Harvick finished two through five. NASCAR later docked Bowyer 100 points after his car failed the post-race inspection.

Over the course of the last 10 Sprint Cup races at New Hampshire Gordon, with five top-fives, owns the best average finish at 7.4. Hamlin, with a win and three other top-fives, comes next at 7.6. Johnson, also with a win and three other top-fives, follows at 10.9. Stewart comes in at 12, and Jeff Burton follows at 12.9.

As of Friday morning Bodog.com is listing Johnson and Hamlin as 11/2 co-favorites on its Lenox Tools 301 betting board. Kyle Busch comes next at 15/2, followed by, among others, Gordon and Harvick at 8/1, Kurt Busch and Edwards at 11/1, Stewart at 12/1, Bowyer, Earnhardt, Greg Biffle and Kenseth at 20/1, Burton at 30/1, and Brad Keselowski, Reutimann, Joey Logano, Kasey Kahne, Mark Martin, Martin Truex, Jr. and Newman at 40/1.

Gordon has won three times in 32 career starts at New Hampshire, and finished in the top five 11 other times. So we like his chances at 8/1. And for a longshot we like Newman, who’s got two wins and 10 other top-ten finishes in 18 career starts at NHMS, at 40/1.

Last Saturday night David Ragan picked up his first career Sprint Cup victory, winning the Coke Zero 400 at Daytona. In doing so Ragan paid off at odds of 28/1 at Bodog.com.

Matt Kenseth, listed at 25/1 on Bodog’s Coke Zero 400 betting board, finished second; Joey Logano, at 33/1, took third; Kasey Kahne, a 35/1 shot, came in fourth; and Kyle Busch, at 14/1, ran fifth.

Ryan Newman, a 30/1 choice who led a race-high 25 laps, got caught up in a late wreck and finished 23rd.

The big news out of Daytona, though, was that Kevin Harvick, after finishing seventh Saturday night, took over the Sprint Cup season points lead from Carl Edwards, who came in 37th. Harvick now leads Edwards by five points and third-place Kyle Busch by 10 points. Kurt Busch runs in fourth place, 16 points back of Harvick, followed by Kenseth and five-time defending champion Jimmie Johnson at -22, Dale Earnhardt, Jr. at -52, Jeff Gordon at -67, Clint Bowyer at -81 and Newman at -88.

With the change in rules for this season the top ten drivers in the points standings after 26 races qualify for the season-ending Chase for the Cup. At the moment Denny Hamlin, at -91, and Tony Stewart, at -92, are the two drivers closest to the top ten.

Also, the two drivers among the second ten in the standings with the most victories also make the Chase for the Cup field. At the moment that would be Hamlin and Ragan.

While NASCAR has never run a Sprint Cup event at Kentucky Speedway, they have run Nationwide and truck series events there during its 11 years in existence. Logano has won the last three Nationwide races at Kentucky, and Brad Keselowski has finished in the top five those last three races.

As of Friday morning Sportsbook.com is listing Edwards and Kurt Busch as +700 co-favorites on its Quaker State 400 board. Johnson and Kyle Busch come next at +800, followed by Hamlin and Jeff Gordon at +1,000, Greg Biffle, Harvick, Kenseth and Stewart at +1,200, Dale Junior at +1,500, Bowyer at +2,000, Kahne and Logano at +2,500, Newman at +3,000, Jeff Burton, Juan Pablo Montoya, Mark Martin, Martin Truex, Jr. and Brian Vickers at +4,000, Ragan at +5,000, David Reutimann, Keselowski and Jamie McMurray at +6,000, AJ Allmendinger, Marcos Ambrose and Paul Menard at +7,500, and Bobby Labonte and Regan Smith at +10,000. And “The Field” is being offered at +5,000.

Considering their recent performances at Kentucky Speedway, we’ll take Logano at +2,500 and Keselowski at +6,000 to win Saturday’s race.