Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
Date/Time: November 3rd, 1:00 PM ET
Spread: Chiefs -3
The Kansas City Chiefs are the last team standing amongst the unbeatens, and they have a game on Sunday against the Buffalo Bills that theoretically looks like a relatively easy game. Going into Orchard Park is never a snap though, and that’s a warning that we are issuing with our NFL picks in this one.
Kansas City has to be very careful about the idea of looking ahead. The team has a bye week after this game is over with, but it has the Denver Broncos at Mile High in its next game. Win these next two, and the path to the #1 seed in the AFC and the AFC West title is certainly very easy. It’s clear that this offense is only going as far as RB Jamaal Charles takes it. Charles was never really known for his good hands out of the backfield before this year, but having Head Coach Andy Reid call the shots has been great for his game. Not only is Charles the top rusher on the team with 635 yards and six scores, but he also has the most receptions (41), the most receiving yards (383), and is tied for the most receiving touchdowns (2) for KC as well. The Chiefs though, are built on their defense, which is holding teams to 12.2 points per game. Some chinks have shown in the armor, as the team has allowed at least 16 five times in the last seven games, and the schedule has been quite weak as we mentioned, but we don’t doubt that these guys can play.
The Bills were supposed to crawl into a hole and die after losing QB EJ Manuel for at least a month and a half. QB Kevin Kolb was the plan originally, but his concussion made it that the rookie from Florida State was pressed into action far earlier than originally planned. However, since Manuel has gone down, QB Thad Lewis has actually been pretty darn serviceable. You wouldn’t know that he is a practice squad quarterback posing as a starter. We’d like to see more than three TD passes in three games, but the two picks aren’t that bad, and an 80.2 quarterback rating is, as we said, very serviceable. Now, the team is just a game and a half back of the last Wild Card slot, and if you look closely, you’ll notice that there aren’t a lot of games left on the docket that are definitive losses. RB CJ Spiller remains questionable in this game with an ankle injury. He sat out last week, and the team suffered its worst loss of the season at the hands of the New Orleans Saints.
The Bills though, are 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS thus far this season at home, and we have to believe that this is a game that is winnable for the hosts. This could be a massive look ahead game for the Chiefs, and if they are caught napping like they sort of were last week against the Cleveland Browns, the 1972 Miami Dolphins could be popping the cork by the end of the weekend.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills Pick: Buffalo Bills +3
is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.