The NFL playoffs kick off this week, and the Cincinnati Bengals and the Houston Texans are set to do battle. Check out some of the NFL prop bets that are available at BetDSI, as we analyze the betting lines and see which sides to play.
Longest Made Field Goal Under 44.5 Yards (-115): It’s interesting to note that Head Coach Gary Kubiak had to think twice about sending his kicker out to try a 54-yard field goal in the biggest game of the year against the Indianapolis Colts last week. He called a timeout, sent out the kicker, and K Shayne Graham promptly missed. Graham has hit on at least one field goal of 45+ yards in five of his last six games by himself, but that lack of confidence really can’t be good for the team. Not to mention that, but the Texans just can’t possibly let Graham try four field goals as they have averaged per game in the last three weeks. K Josh Brown was only signed off of the streets a few weeks ago, and though he is 11-of-12 with two field goals made longer than 45 yards, we still aren’t believers that this opportunity is even going to come up, let alone be converted when push comes to shove.
Total Sacks By Both Teams Over 5.5 (-120): It seems like a bit of a donkey play to bet on there to be six sacks combined by these two teams, but the truth of the matter is that this is how we see things playing out. The Houston offensive line has certainly struggled over the course of the last several weeks, allowing QB Matt Schaub to get sacked 10 times in that stretch and hit several others, and it’s not like the Cincinnati offensive line is the greatest in the world either. There are three men in this game that combined for over 40 sacks between them, and that’s good enough to make us think that there will be at least six times that we see the quarterbacks picking themselves up off of the turf on Saturday.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Under 64.5 Rushing Yards (-115): Green-Ellis had himself a solid year this year, rushing for 1,094 yards and six TDs, and he did a heck of a lot of that damage down the stretch of the season. He hurt his hamstring last week before coming out in Week 17 against the Baltimore Ravens and didn’t play in the game, and that could hamper him in this one. The Law Firm is also going against a very stout Houston front line that is the only unit to hold RB Adrian Peterson under 100 yards on the ground in seemingly eons. It’s going to be tough sledding for Green-Ellis in this one whether he is fully healthy or not.
AJ Green To Score a Touchdown (-105): Green is the best threat for the Bengals to score a TD in this game, and we think that he is going to be able to do it when push comes to shove. He scored 11 times this year, and though teams made the conscious effort to try to shut him down, it isn’t going to matter in this one. The Georgia Bulldog is going against a very weak secondary that has been torched for some huge plays over the course of the last several weeks and has allowed just gobs of big time plays. This is the man to break the big one for the Bengals, and Green should at least find the end zone once again undersized and under-talented corners.
Matt Schaub Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards (-115): Schaub is known for that playaction bootleg to the strong side of the field, and he does it better than any quarterback in the game. Often times, he is going to take a huge shot down the field when he does that, and he loves finding either WR Andre Johnson or one of his big tight ends in the middle of the field. Schaub has had five games just since Week 11 in which he hit at least one pass of 36 yards, and he’ll get at least three or four whacks at it against a very aggressive Cincinnati front seven that might be biting on that play fake all game long.
Andre Johnson To Score a Touchdown (+180): Let’s be realistic here about Johnson for a second. Does anyone out there really, truly believe that he is only going to catch a touchdown pass once in every four games like he did this year? It was a ridiculous statistical anomaly to think that he could catch 112 passes with just four of them going for touchdowns, but that’s precisely what happened. Over the course of the previous five years, Johnson played in 61 games and caught 35 TDs on 395 receptions. That’s one TD per every 1.7 games played and every 11.3 pass receptions. That’s more like it. That really insinuates that this number should be +130 or so, not +180. Johnson also scored a long touchdown last year in this game, and that was with QB TJ Yates, not Schaub throwing him the pigskin.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.