Football Pick: Cincinnati vs. Memphis
Date/Time: October 30th, 8:00 ET
College Football Odds from BetAnySports.eu
Point Spread: Cincinnati -3.5
The Memphis Tigers and the Cincinnati Bearcats used to share a bitter rivalry in Conference USA. They were split up when the Bearcats took the jump up to the Big East, but now, under the united front of the AAC, these two will get back together once again on Wednesday night at the Liberty Bowl.
Cincinnati is as square as it gets this week. It seems so easy to go on the road and lay just 3.5 points against a team as bad as Memphis, but perhaps there is more to this. The Bearcats haven’t been on the road in a game since October 5th, and that day, they were beaten by the South Florida Bulls, who are definitively one of the worst teams in this conference. The two wins since that point came against the Temple Owls and the Connecticut Huskies, the only two teams in the conference that South Florida would be favored over. A 14-0 road win against the Miami Redhawks is also a sign that something is really wrong with these Bearcats, especially knowing that this was a game that came against one of the worst teams in the entire country. Without QB Munchie Legaux, this team isn’t as strong offensively, but the real farce is the defense, which isn’t anywhere near as good as being ranked seventh in the land in total defense and 10th in scoring defense suggests.
We have to remember too, that Memphis has played well here at the Liberty Bowl this year. The team had every chance in the world to beat the SMU Mustangs last week, and it had the UCF Knights dead to rights three weeks ago. The home game against the Arkansas State Red Wolves was a blowout, and that loss to the Duke Blue Devils is looking better and better with each passing win for the Dookies. So yes, 1-5 is 1-5, and the fact that Memphis doesn’t have a player with more than three touchdowns on the season is really saying something. However, this defense has played well all season long, allowing 22.5 points per game, many of which can be attributed to the play of the offense, not the play of the defense. It’s not a mistake that this rush defense ranks seventh in the land with under 100 yards per game allowed. If that keeps up in this one, QB Brendon Kay is going to have his work cut out for him for UC.
Dare we say that the wrong team is favored in this game? We really believe that to be the case. Cincinnati isn’t anywhere near as good as this 5-2 mark suggests, as this is one of the weakest schedules in America, and though the 1-5 Tigers aren’t great, they are good enough to win this game SU.
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Memphis Tigers Pick: Memphis Tigers +3.5