October 8, 2010

Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Picks: 2010 NCAA Football Betting



Clemson Tigers
(2-2, 1-3 ATS)

North Carolina Tar Heels
(2-2, 3-1 ATS)

ACC teams vying for their first victory in conference of the year meet in NCAA football betting action in Chapel Hill, and the UNC Tar Heels collide with the Clemson Tigers.

Clemson is one of the many teams in the country that we aren’t so sure has a legitimate squad or one full of duds. Two wins against lousy teams and two losses against great teams sort of muddy the waters just a tad. We know that QB Kyle Parker has struggled miserably this season and probably made a big mistake not signing that MLB contract with the Colorado Rockies that he had offered to him. Instead, he is only completing 52.7 percent of his passes for 653 yards and six scores against four picks, and he looks like a quarterback that has clearly digressed from one year to the next. RB Andre Ellington is the bright spot in an otherwise dull offense. His 54 carries for 380 yards and seven scores are fantastic for a man trying to step into the shoes of RB CJ Spiller, who is now making waves with the Buffalo Bills in the NFL. The Tigers had 30 points dropped on them at home against the Miami Hurricanes last week, and it is clear if that happens again that they are going to be below .500.

UNC’s defense might be starting to get its act together after losing a ton of players to suspension for potentially the entire season. The Heels have suddenly kept two foes in the teens after allowing both the LSU Tigers and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets to score 30 in the opening two games of the season. This game against Clemson is crucial for UNC, as this is the last home game against an FBS foe until November 13th against the Virginia Tech Hokies. In that stretch, there are road games at both the Miami Hurricanes and Florida State Seminoles that are almost certain defeats if things don’t change. Offensively, QB TJ Yates has done everything that he can do. Putting 26.8 points per game on the board should be enough for a team with a defense that was supposed to be amongst the best in the nation, and he has done a good job taking care of the football. Yates only has one INT against seven TD tosses, and he has thrown for a stellar 1,006 yards in just four games.

Clemson has absolutely destroyed UNC in its L/3 meetings, winning by at least 30 points twice and averaging winning by 27.7 points per game. All of that comes to an end on Saturday, as these teams are significantly different than when they met last in 2006. The Heels have played a schedule worthy of any top foe, while so far, the only real tests that the Tigers have had, they have failed. This will be another failure on Saturday afternoon in Chapel Hill.

College Football Free Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels -2.5

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