(13-2, 8-3-1 ATS)
(14-1, 6-5-1 ATS)
Two of the real heavy hitters of the Big East crack skulls on Wednesday night from the City of Brotherly Love, as the Villanova Wildcats welcome the Louisville Cardinals to town for what should be a great college basketball betting showdown.
Louisville survived its first Big East road test of the season, beating up the South Florida Bulls on Sunday to improve to 2-0 SU and ATS in Big East play. This is a different type of challenge though, and is really one of the likes that the Redbirds have not seen thus far this year. Head Coach Rick Pitino does a great job distributing his players’ minutes, just as you have to in order to survive in the Big East. There are seven different players that are averaging over 20 minutes per game and another three that are averaging at least 13 minutes per game. Bodies are consistently coming in and out of the lineup, and any of the top seven scorers or so can go off for 15-20 points in a game. The key in this one for Louisville though, is going to be its defense, which ranks No. 56 in the nation entering this week at 62.9 points per game. Teams are only shooting 38.0 percent against the Cardinals as well. Keep an eye on Preston Knowles, who is leading the Redbirds in scoring at 14.9 points per game, as he is the deadliest shooter in this bunch.
Villanova opened up a 16 point lead at halftime and never really looked back on Sunday against the Cincinnati Bearcats, marking the team’s ninth straight win since getting beaten by the Tennessee Volunteers on a neutral court at Thanksgiving time. Head Coach Jay Wright has led his club to ‘W’s on the NCAA basketball odds in five of his L/5 and in three straight. It’s the Corey Show every time the Cats hit the court. Of course, we are talking about Corey Stokes and Corey Fisher, who are the leading scorers on this club at 16.6 and 15.1 points per game respectively. Neither one quite has the same type of skills that the departed Scottie Reynolds had, but they can both work magic and know what it takes to make a deep run in Big East play and in the NCAA Tournament. Maalik Wayns has really been the new kid on the block, per se, and he has gotten a great first taste of Big East action in his sophomore year so far. He has scored 31 points over the course of his last two games, and if he can come up with an inspired effort against the Cardinals, the hosts are sure to be triumphant on Wednesday night.
The ATS winning streak for Villanova stops right here on Hump Day. The Cardinals just play some fantastic, fundamental ball, and they are suited perfectly to be able to stick in front of a five or a six point spread. The Wildcats are going to get nipped eventually, and though this might not ultimately be the day, we don’t see them being able to do the same type of work to the ‘Ville as they did to Cincinnati on Sunday.
NCAA Basketball Expert Pick: Louisville Cardinals