February 20, 2013

College Basketball Betting By the Numbers for 2/19/13

When you bet on the college hoops, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the basketball betting lines for this week, and showing you some of the most important numbers that you should be keeping an eye on!

2: The number of teams that the Kansas Jayhawks are seeking massive revenge against this week. They were beaten three times in a row to start the month of February, and it all started by being taken down by the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Four nights later, the TCU Horned Frogs pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the year when they took down Rock Chalk. Now, it’s payback time. Okie State has a shot at another win over KU, as that game is played in Stillwater, but we certainly wouldn’t want to be the Horned Frogs playing this weekend at Allen Fieldhouse.

3: The number of consecutive weeks that the Indiana Hoosiers have held the top ranking in the nation. That’s huge news if you’ve been following college basketball lately, knowing that the No. 1 ranked team in America had lost five weeks in a row before this past week when Indiana won twice and held onto the top spot.

4: The number of Top 20 ranked teams that the Michigan State Spartans are going to be playing in the next 17 days. This is where the rubber is going to meet the road for Sparty, and we are going to see whether this team is a legitimate No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Beat three of the four of Indiana, Ohio State, Michigan, and Wisconsin, and there will be little doubt that that is the case. This is a potentially huge two and a half weeks starting tonight for the Spartans when they host the Hoosiers.

6: The number of teams in the entire country that still have undefeated marks in conference play. We really don’t care all that much about the Norfolk State Spartans, who are sure to be a one-and-done in the dance, but the rest of these teams are all very dangerous, and most come equipped with great ATS records as well. The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 14-8-1 ATS in their season which has already featured 14 straight WAC wins. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are 12-0 in the WCC, while the Akron Zips, Memphis Tigers, and Miami Hurricanes are the others to still be spotless in their own conferences.

7: The number of games in a row that the Georgetown Hoyas have covered. That gives them the longest ATS winning streak in the nation. Amazingly, all of this has happened since F Greg Whittington has left the lineup thanks to eligibility issues. However, the Hoyas have cracked down defensively in a big time way in the Big East when the games matter most. The last team to score more than 65 against this ‘D’ was the Pittsburgh Panthers, and that was way back on January 8th. Since that point, the team happens to be 9-1 SU and 9-1 ATS.

9.5: The number of three-point baskets that the Iowa State Cyclones are averaging per game this year. That’s leading the nation by a healthy margin. Why is this relevant? Because this weekend’s foes, the Texas Tech Red Raiders rank 328th in the nation in opposing three-point shooting percentage at 37.8%. Iowa State only hit 6-of-23 from long range the first time that these two met, but then again, it only scored 51 points and was upset as 10.5-point favorites. If history holds though, this is a nice revenge spot for the Cyclones.

21: The number of times that the Missouri Tigers turned the ball over against the Florida Gators when these two teams met in Gainesville earlier this year. At the time, both were ranked in the Top 15 in the land, but Mizzou has really faltered since that point. A 31-point loss will do that to a team. G Phil Pressey had a particularly bad night in the Swamp, as he shot just 1-of-7 from the floor and turned the ball over 10 times all by himself. If the turnovers don’t cut down, the Gators are going to come to Columbia and whoop up on the Tigers for the second straight time.

27.0: The number of points per game that G Erick Green has averaged in his last four for the Virginia Tech Hokies. It hasn’t always mattered for the Hokies, as they are one of the worst teams in the ACC. However, it is proof that Green can really take a game over when he gets the chance to do some damage. You paying attention, Duke Blue Devils? The trip for the Dookies to Blacksburg isn’t going to be a fun one this week if Green goes off for at least 28 for the fourth time in his last five games.

58.0: The number representing the percentage of shots that the Tennessee Volunteers made from the field against the Kentucky Wildcats this past weekend. That was the first game without F Nerlens Noel in the lineup, and Head Coach John Calipari has to be concerned. Noel was the nation’s leader in blocks before going down with a torn ACL that will likely end his collegiate career, and right out of the gates against Tennessee, a bad offensive team put up 88 points on 58% shooting from the field. The Vols shot just 43.1% from the floor coming into that game, and the Cats were one of the best defensive teams in the land prior to Noel’s injury. If this is going to be the status quo for the rest of the year, we’d bet that Kentucky doesn’t even make the dance.

65: The number representing the percentage that the Indiana Hoosiers shot from the foul line the first time that they played against the Michigan State Spartans this year. Had Indiana done a bit better than that, the game wouldn’t have been nearly as close as it was, and the opportunity would have been there to cover the number at home. These two meet up against in East Lansing on Tuesday night, and the argument could be made that the winner of that game should be the top team in the entire nation.

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Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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